Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ)

NYSE: STZ · USD

$130

-0.88 (-0.7%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-09

Our latest published analysis: STZ rated Strong Buy

Constellation Brands Inc.'s published Strong Buy conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$181 / share

Potential value

$277 / share

Upside to FV

+47.8%

from $130

Moat

7.5/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$20.8B
Revenue (ttm)	9.2B
Net income (ttm)	1.9B
EPS (ttm)	$11.1
Shares out	169.2M
P/E (trailing)	11.7x
P/E (forward)	10.0x
Dividend	$4.12 (3.17%)
Volume	1,408,163
Beta	0.43

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 9.2B
Net income (ttm): 1.9B
EPS (ttm): $11.1
P/E (trailing): 11.7x
P/E (forward): 10.0x
Market cap: $20.8B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2022-02-28	2023-02-28	2024-02-29	2025-02-28	2026-02-28	Trend
Revenue	$8.82B	$9.45B	$9.96B	$10.21B	$9.14B	+0.9%
Gross profit	$4.71B	$4.77B	$5.02B	$5.31B	$4.71B	+0.0%
Operating income	$2.33B	$2.84B	$3.17B	$354.9M	$2.72B	+3.9%
Net income	$-40.4M	$-71.0M	$1.73B	$-81.4M	$1.69B	—
EPS (diluted)	$10.20	$10.64	$12.06	$13.77	$11.81	+3.7%
EBITDA	$1.01B	$1.17B	$3.08B	$781.3M	$3.15B	+33.1%
R&D	—	—	—	—	—	—
SG&A	$1.71B	$1.93B	$1.83B	$1.95B	$1.85B	+2.0%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
BA	The Boeing Company	132.2B	18.0x	1.4x	-0.8%	+8.6%	-25.2%	Vendere
BMY	Bristol-Myers Squibb Company	123.6B	13.3x	2.5x	21.7%	+2.1%	+45.8%	Vendere
CHTR	Charter Communications, Inc.	17.2B	2.7x	0.3x	8.5%	+1.7%	-57.3%	Acquisto forte
ADM	Archer-Daniels-Midland Company	37.3B	21.2x	0.5x	5.0%	+1.8%	+28.5%	Ridurre
BF.B	Brown-Forman Corporation Class B	12.7B	17.9x	3.3x	14.3%	+1.6%	+0.4%	Comprare
CAG	Conagra Brands, Inc.	6.6B	—	0.6x	9.2%	+0.2%	-18.9%	Acquisto forte

Base and Bull scenarios

Base55%

Price target

$181.25

+47.8% from spot

The modal expected path reflects steady execution of the capital and operating turnaround. Revenue growth normalizes from -0.57% in FY2027 toward 3.5%-3.8% over the forecast horizon, led by core Mexican beer volume gains. Second-half FY2027 beer operating margins hold within the guided 34.5%-35.5% band, supporting consolidated operating margins around 29.8% to 30.4%. Veracruz comes online in early FY2028, initiating depreciation but moderating annual capex from $875.0M toward steady-state levels, generating over $1.6B in free cash flow and funding steady share repurchases.

FY2027 comparable EPS delivers between $11.20 and $11.90
Beer segment operating margin averages 34.5%-35.5% in 2H FY2027
Capex moderates from $875.0M in FY2026 toward steady-state levels post-Veracruz
Terminal valuation multiple holds at 13.0x forward P/E, aligned neutrally with peer median

Bull20%

Price target

$276.58

+125.5% from spot

In the upside scenario, accelerated demographic penetration of Modelo Especial, Corona Extra, and Pacifico into non-Hispanic consumer segments drives medium-term organic beer revenue growth above 5.0%. The Veracruz brewery is commissioned seamlessly in early FY2028, lowering capex to maintenance levels of 18% of NOPAT and unlocking substantial free cash flow. Management utilizes expanded cash flow to complete the $2.5B share repurchase authorization ahead of schedule, while continuous improvement programs expand consolidated operating margins past 31.5%.

Organic beer net sales growth accelerates above 5.0% annually
Veracruz brewery commissions seamlessly in early FY2028 without cost overruns
Consolidated operating margins expand past 31.5% supported by continuous improvement programs
Active $2.5B share repurchase authorization completed ahead of schedule by FY2028

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($181.25). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.3%	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%
6.5%	$202	$211	$222	$235	$251
7.0%	$184	$191	$199	$208	$218
7.5%	$170	$175	$181	$188	$196
8.0%	$159	$163	$167	$173	$178
8.5%	$149	$153	$156	$160	$165

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E10

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E11.1

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE24

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC12.8

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All STZ indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

292

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 292 of 292 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0000016918
Company name	Constellation Brands, Inc.
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	21036P108
Earnings date	2026-10-06
Earnings time	amc
Employees	9,400
Employees change	-1,200
Employees growth	-11.32%
Enterprise value	$32.2B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-08-31
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	February
Founded	1945
In index	SP500
Industry	Beverages - Brewers
IPO date	1987-01-01
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US21036P1084
Last 10-K release date	2026-04-22
Last earnings date	2026-10-06
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	2005-05-16
Last stock split type	Forward
Market cap	$22B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2027-01-06
Options	Yes
Price	$129.76
Price currency	USD
Sector	Consumer Staples
SIC code	2080
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	STZ
U.S. state	New York
Website	https://www.cbrands.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	10.7x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	70.38x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	29.83x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	91.41x
Earnings yield	8.58%
EV/Earnings	16.78x
EV/EBIT	10.7x
EV/EBITDA	9.43x
EV/FCF	17.56x
EV/Sales	3.51x
FCF / EV yield	5.7%
FCF yield	8.33%
Forward EV/Sales	3.52x
Forward P/E	10.92x
Forward P/S	2.4x
Graham number	112.55553
Graham upside	-13.74%
Industry forward P/E	15.86x
Industry P/E	24.52x
Lynch fair value	$228.32
Lynch upside	74.97%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	12.48x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	8.53x
P/B ratio	2.58x
P/E ratio	11.65x
P/FCF ratio	12x
P/OCF ratio	8.31x
P/S ratio	2.4x
PEG ratio	5.02x
Price / tangible book value	28.08x
Price/EBITDA ratio	6.44x
Sector forward P/E	21.33x
Sector P/E	28.29x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	32.79%
EBITDA margin	37.2%
Effective tax rate	19.08%
FCF margin	19.97%
Gross margin	52.77%
Operating margin	32.79%
Pretax margin	26.85%
Profit margin	20.9%
Profit per employee	$204,702
Profitable quarters	6
Profitable years	1
Revenue per employee	$979,649
ROA	8.68%
ROA (5Y)	8.05%
ROCE	15.81%
ROE	24.01%
ROE (5Y)	8.14%
ROIC	12.83%
ROIC (5Y)	7.69%
SBC / revenue	0.77%
Tax / revenue	5.12%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	62.73%
EPS growth (Q)	25.26%
EPS growth (QoQ)	-12.42%
EPS growth 10Y	6.72%
EPS growth 3Y	11.9%
EPS growth 5Y	23.64%
EPS growth quarters	3
EPS growth years	1
FCF growth	-0.48%
FCF growth (Q)	0.8%
FCF growth (QoQ)	32.05%
FCF growth 3Y	6.05%
FCF growth 5Y	-1.13%
Gross profit growth	-2.76%
Gross profit growth (Q)	6.46%
Gross profit growth 3Y	-0.29%
Gross profit growth 5Y	0.71%
Net income growth	57.37%
Net income growth (Q)	21.42%
Net income growth (QoQ)	-13.46%
Net income growth 3Y	8.26%
Net income growth 5Y	20.51%
Net income growth quarters	3
Net income growth years	1
OCF growth	-4.01%
OCF growth (Q)	-4.14%
OCF growth (QoQ)	23.42%
OCF growth 10Y	4.85%
OCF growth 3Y	-0.82%
OCF growth 5Y	-1.64%
Operating income growth	-5.42%
Operating income growth (Q)	-2.76%
Operating income growth 3Y	-0.59%
Operating income growth 5Y	0.59%
Revenue growth	-4.32%
Revenue growth (Q)	6.13%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	8.23%
Revenue growth 10Y	2.67%
Revenue growth 3Y	-2.01%
Revenue growth 5Y	0.94%
Revenue growth quarters	1
Revenue growth years	0

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-819M
Depreciation and amortization	$406.5M
EBIT	$3B
EBITDA	$3.4B
EPS	$11.13
FCF per share	$10.87
Financing cash flow	$-1.8B
Free cash flow	$1.8B
Free cash flow minus SBC	$1.8B
Gross profit	$4.9B
Income taxes	$471.8M
Investing cash flow	$-798.7M
Net borrowing	$-242.2M
Net cash flow	$26.5M
Net income	$1.9B
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$2.6B
Operating income	$3B
Revenue	$9.2B
Stock-based compensation	$70.5M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	2.92
Book value per share	$50.57
Debt / EBITDA	2.86
Debt / equity	1.16
Debt / FCF	5.61
Goodwill	$5.3B
Interest coverage	8.75
Long-term assets	$19.1B
Long-term liabilities	$10.2B
Net cash (debt)	$-10.2B
Net cash / market cap	-46.28%
Net debt / EBITDA	2.98
Net debt / equity	1.15
Net debt / FCF	5.55
Piotroski F-Score	6
Property, plant and equipment	$8.7B
Shareholders' equity	$8.9B
Tangible book value	$786.4M
Tangible book value per share	$4.63
Total assets	$22.1B
Total cash	$98.5M
Total debt	$10.3B
Total liabilities	$13.2B
WACC	5.37%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.42
Current assets	$3B
Current liabilities	$3B
Current ratio	1
Inventory turnover	3.09
Net working capital	$1.1B
Quick ratio	0.26
Working capital	$-4.3M
Working capital turnover	85.58

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	3.32%
Dividend growth	0.98%
Dividend growth (10Y)	10.53%
Dividend growth (3Y)	5.8%
Dividend growth (5Y)	6.29%
Dividend growth years	10
Dividend payment date	2026-11-13
Dividend payment years	12
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$4.12
Dividend yield	3.17%
Ex-dividend date	2026-10-30
FCF payout ratio	37.9%
Last dividend	$1.03
Payout ratio	37%
Shareholder yield	6.48%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	-21.74%
10Y return CAGR	-0.83%
10Y total return	-7.99%
150-day SMA	$137.34
15Y price change	530.19%
15Y return CAGR	14.39%
15Y total return	651.75%
1D price change	-0.67%
1M price change	14.08%
1M total return	14.08%
1W price change	-2.34%
1W total return	-2.34%
1Y price change	-6.04%
1Y return CAGR	-3.29%
1Y total return	-3.29%
20-day SMA	$126.53
200-day SMA	$142.04
20Y price change	369.67%
20Y return CAGR	9%
20Y total return	460.27%
3M price change	-0.06%
3M total return	0.73%
3Y price change	-43.55%
3Y return CAGR	-15.51%
3Y total return	-39.7%
50-day SMA	$125.44
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50under200
52-week high	$168.60
52-week high date	2026-04-13
52-week low	$110.60
52-week low date	2026-10-05
5Y price change	-39.69%
5Y return CAGR	-7.92%
5Y total return	-33.8%
6M price change	-16.41%
6M total return	-15.19%
All-time high	$274.87
All-time high date	2024-04-11
All-time low	$0.38
All-time low date	1988-12-05
Average true range (ATR)	$3.32
Average volume	2.6M
Beta (1Y)	0.17
Beta (2Y)	0.41
Beta (5Y)	0.43
Change from 52-week high	-23.04%
Change from 52-week low	17.32%
Change from all-time high	-52.84%
Change from all-time low	34,468%
Change from open	-0.11%
Day's gap	-0.56%
Dollar volume	$182.7M
High price	$130.82
Low price	$129.42
Monthly RSI	37.28
Open price	$129.90
Position in 52-week range	24.29%
Premarket change	-0.7%
Premarket close	$130.63
Premarket price	$129.72
Previous close	$130.63
Price vs 150-day SMA	-5.62%
Price vs 20-day SMA	2.45%
Price vs 200-day SMA	-8.74%
Price vs 50-day SMA	3.34%
Relative volume	0.55
RSI	53.99
Sharpe ratio	-0.08
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	-0.62
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	-0.36
Sortino ratio	0.07
Sortino ratio (3Y)	-0.63
Sortino ratio (5Y)	-0.27
Volume	1.4M
Weekly RSI	46.91
YTD price change	-6.04%
YTD total return	-4.05%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	156.3M
Float percentage	92.35%
Shares change (QoQ)	-1.05%
Shares change (YoY)	-3.32%
Shares held by insiders	0.47%
Shares held by institutions	89.44%
Shares outstanding	169.2M
Short % of float	6.17%
Short % of shares	5.69%
Short ratio	4.1 days

Deeper analysis on STZ

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this STZ report

What is the latest published STZ stock rating?

Constellation Brands Inc. is shown with Strong Buy in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-09. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full STZ analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-09, lives at /stocks/STZ/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for STZ?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-09 gives STZ a fair value of USD 181 and a potential value of USD 277. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the STZ page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-09). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

Strong BuySTZ · Fair value $181+47.8%

Read full analysis →

Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ)

Our latest published analysis: STZ rated Strong Buy

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · STZ

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All STZ indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on STZ

Frequently asked questions

Storico dei rating

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	8.5
Management	7.5
Balance Sheet	3.0
Profitability	6.5
Revenue Growth	6.0
Risk Assessment	5.5
Competitive Moat	7.5
Earnings Quality	9.0
Capital Efficiency	7.5