Skip to content
StockMarketAgent
Direct answer
FLEX trades against a final fair-value range of $65.15-$128.29, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $65.2, high $128, with mid-point at $94.8.
Stock analysis

FLEX fair value $65–$128

By StockMarketAgent.AI team· supervised by
Đã phân tích: 2026-05-20Cập nhật tiếp theo: 2026-08-20Methodology v2.4Data cut-off: Quality gate: passSources: all material sources passed deterministic freshness/provenance gatesReview: automatedArchetype: Mature compounder
View archive
Giá
$131.52
▼ -36.74 (-27.93%)
Giá trị hợp lý
$95
$65–$128
Khuyến nghị
Bán
confidence 82/100
Tiềm năng tăng
-27.9%
upside to fair value
Biên an toàn
$80.56
MoS level · 15%
Vốn hóa thị trường
$48.4B
P/E fwd 19.4
Dự phòng tiếng AnhVI
Hiển thị bản gốc tiếng Anh trong khi đang dịch
Báo cáo này chưa được dịch. Hãy làm mới sau vài phút khi hàng đợi dịch xử lý xong.

§1 Tóm tắt điều hành

  • Composite fair value $95 with high case $128.
  • Implied downside of 27.9% to fair value.
  • Moat 6.5/10 · confidence 82/100 · Mature compounder.
  • Currently screens above fair value, so patience matters more than entry speed.
Fair value
$95
Margin of safety
-38.8%
Confidence
82/100
Moat
6.5/10

Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.

$131.52Price
Low $65.15
Mid $94.78
High $128.29

FLEX trades against a final fair-value range of $65.15-$128.29, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

  • Switching costs in complex manufacturing
    Switching costs in complex manufacturing
  • Scale within electronics manufacturing services
    Scale within electronics manufacturing services (EMS)
  • Cycle upside
    Accelerated growth from AI infrastructure and data center demand driving multi-year margin expansion.

§2 Kịch bản tiêu cực

Fading the elevated near-term returns over a five-year period to explicitly account for legacy cyclical hardware risks and broader macro volatilityVolatilityVolatility is a price, risk, or intrinsic-value metric used to compare market price with estimated value or historical return behavior. It should be read as one input in a broader valuation range..

Các cách luận điểm này có thể đổ vỡ

Macro Cyclical Downturn

· Medium

Macroeconomic slowdown and cyclical downturn in consumer devices heavily offset growth in industrial and AI solutions.

FV impact
$65.15
Trigger
12-24 months

Margin Compression

· Low

Severe margin compression from input cost inflation and supply chain disruptions causing operating margins to contract below 5.5%.

FV impact
$80.00
Trigger
6-12 months

AI Demand Fade

· Low

AI infrastructure super-cycle demand fades prematurely before legacy business units can fundamentally recover.

FV impact
$75.00
Trigger
18-36 months
Tín hiệu cảnh báo sớm cần theo dõi
Chỉ sốHiện tạiNgưỡng kích hoạt
Next twelve months (NTM) forward EPS revisions trending downward or falling below $6.50.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Operating margins contracting below 5.5% over the next 4 quarters.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Significant deceleration in data center and cloud infrastructure segment growth.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Free cash flow conversion dropping below historical baselines (OCF to Net Income < 1.0x).MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Increase in inventory days signaling supply chain bottlenecks or demand weakness.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis

§3 Lịch sử tài chính

Báo cáo kết quả kinh doanh — sáu kỳ gần nhất
Khoản mụcT−0T−1T−2T−3CAGR
Kỳ2022-03-312023-03-312024-03-312025-03-31Trend
Doanh thu$24.63B$28.50B$26.42B$25.81B+1.6%
Lợi nhuận gộp$1.78B$1.98B$1.87B$2.16B+6.6%
Lợi nhuận hoạt động$890.0M$1.02B$873.0M$1.19B+10.0%
Lợi nhuận ròng$936.0M$793.0M$1.01B$838.0M-3.6%
EPS (pha loãng)$1.94$1.72$2.28$2.11+2.8%
EBITDA$1.61B$1.54B$1.41B$1.78B+3.3%
R&D
SG&A$830.0M$874.0M$922.0M$904.0M+2.9%

Điểm chất lượng

OCF / Lợi nhuận ròng
1.8×
>1 cho thấy chất lượng lợi nhuận cao
Cổng chất lượng kế toán
Fail
Cổng điều chỉnh theo ngành
ROIC
10.7%
Tỷ suất sinh lời trên vốn đầu tư
Phần 3

Numbers analysis

Dòng tiền

Cash-flow quality is reflected in the OCFOperating cash flowCash generated from the company's core operations after working-capital changes but before capital expenditures. The first line of the cash-flow statement. / net incomeNet IncomeNet Income is an income-statement line item used to reconcile revenue to operating profit, pre-tax income, net income, or per-share earnings. It should be compared across periods and against peer disclosure conventions., accounting-quality, and ROICROICReturn on invested capital. Operating profit (after tax) divided by invested capital. The single best gauge of capital-efficiency. Spread over WACC = economic value created. rows above.

Phân bổ vốn

Capital allocation should be evaluated against reinvestment needs, balance-sheet strength, and shareholder returns.

Người đăng ký cá nhân — từ §411 phần nữa

Đọc phân tích đầy đủ — 11 phần nữa.

Competitive moat, industry cycle, peer comparison, intrinsic valuation, sensitivity, scenarios, earnings decision tree, position management, investor perspectives, scorecard, and final recommendation.

Báo cáo đầy đủ cho mọi mã được phủ
Lưu trữ khuyến nghị 24 tháng
Bản tin watchlist + cảnh báo thay đổi khuyến nghị
Xuất PDF + DOCX bằng mọi ngôn ngữ
Bắt đầu dùng thử miễn phí
Hủy bất kỳ lúc nào.
SCENARIOS FAQ

FLEX scenarios questions

  1. Each scenario for FLEX (FLEX) carries a five-year price target, an explicit set of assumptions (growth, terminal multiple, margin path), and a probability weight calibrated against current visibility.
FAQ

FLEX — frequently asked questions

  1. Based on our latest analysis, FLEX looks meaningfully overvalued. The current price is $132 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $94.8 (range $65.2–$128), which implies roughly 27.9% downside to the midpoint.
Related coverage

Names readers of FLEX also follow

Same archetype: mature-compounder