Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. (HII)

NYSE: HII · USD

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-09-20

Our latest published analysis: HII rated Strong Buy

Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc.'s published Strong Buy conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$378 / share

Potential value

$570 / share

Upside to FV

+38.4%

Moat

7/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$10.8B
P/E (forward)	12.7x

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

P/E (forward): 12.7x
Market cap: $10.8B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$9.52B	$10.68B	$11.45B	$11.54B	$12.48B	+7.0%
Gross profit	$1.37B	$1.44B	$1.65B	$1.45B	$1.59B	+3.7%
Operating income	$513.0M	$565.0M	$781.0M	$535.0M	$657.0M	+6.4%
Net income	$544.0M	$579.0M	$681.0M	$550.0M	$605.0M	+2.7%
EPS (diluted)	$13.50	$14.44	$17.07	$13.96	$15.39	+3.3%
EBITDA	$1.00B	$1.18B	$1.30B	$1.06B	$1.21B	+4.8%
R&D	$34.0M	$40.0M	$35.0M	$27.0M	$26.0M	-6.5%
SG&A	$898.0M	$924.0M	$1.02B	$973.0M	$977.0M	+2.1%

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Base and Bull scenarios

Base60%

Price target

$377.71

+38.4% from spot

The modal path reflects steady multi-ship block contract conversion, with revenue compounding at low-to-mid single digits and operating margins stabilizing, delivering Fair value $377.71. Disconfirmed if cumulative catch-up charges emerge or skilled worker attrition accelerates through FY2026.

Steady backlog execution on nuclear aircraft carriers and submarines supports mid-single-digit revenue expansion
Operating margins normalize slightly above reported levels as labor conditions stabilize
Capital reinvestment continues at steady-state rates to sustain nuclear shipyard facilities

Bull20%

Price target

$570.12

+108.9% from spot

Under accelerated naval appropriations and Virginia-class submarine throughput, digital shipyard productivity drives margin expansion toward Potential value $570.12. Disconfirmed if quarterly operating margins stall or contract awards face legislative delays through FY2027.

Naval shipbuilding appropriations accelerate with higher annual submarine procurement rates
Digital shipyard infrastructure yields productivity gains that expand operating margins toward peak levels
Submarine module build velocity accelerates without labor cost penalties

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($377.71). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.5%	3.0%	3.5%	4.0%
5.2%	$478	$536	$640	$954	$774
6.2%	$395	$420	$454	$507	$603
7.2%	$347	$361	$378	$400	$432
8.2%	$315	$323	$333	$346	$362
9.2%	$292	$297	$304	$312	$321

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Forward P/E12.7

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E16.3

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROEn/a

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROICn/a

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

Deeper analysis on HII

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

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Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

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Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

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Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

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Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

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Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

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Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

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Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

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Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

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Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

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Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this HII report

What is the latest published HII stock rating?

Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. is shown with Strong Buy in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-20. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full HII analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-20, lives at /stocks/HII/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for HII?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-09-20 gives HII a fair value of USD 378 and a potential value of USD 570. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the HII page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-09-20). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

Strong BuyHII · Fair value $378+38.4%

Read full analysis →

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	8.5
Management	7.5
Balance Sheet	6.0
Profitability	5.0
Revenue Growth	6.0
Risk Assessment	7.5
Competitive Moat	7.0
Earnings Quality	9.0
Capital Efficiency	3.5

Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. (HII)

Our latest published analysis: HII rated Strong Buy

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · HII

Valuation

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

Deeper analysis on HII

Frequently asked questions

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