Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY)

NYSE: TDY · USD

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-05

Our latest published analysis: TDY rated Sell

Teledyne Technologies Incorporated's published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$461 / share

Potential value

$536 / share

Upside to FV

-25.8%

Moat

7.5/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$28.8B
P/E (forward)	23.6x

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

P/E (forward): 23.6x
Market cap: $28.8B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2022-01-02	2023-01-01	2023-12-31	2024-12-29	2025-12-28	Trend
Revenue	$4.61B	$5.46B	$5.64B	$5.67B	$6.12B	+7.3%
Gross profit	$1.84B	$2.33B	$2.44B	$2.43B	$2.40B	+6.8%
Operating income	$624.3M	$972.0M	$1.03B	$989.1M	$1.15B	+16.5%
Net income	$445.3M	$788.6M	$885.7M	$819.2M	$894.8M	+19.1%
EPS (diluted)	$10.05	$16.53	$18.49	$17.21	$18.88	+17.1%
EBITDA	$996.4M	$1.33B	$1.35B	$1.31B	$1.49B	+10.6%
R&D	$299.3M	$352.2M	$356.3M	$292.6M	$317.3M	+1.5%
SG&A	$1.07B	$804.0M	$852.0M	$902.6M	$931.1M	-3.4%

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AAPL	Apple Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	Bán
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ACN	Accenture plc	—	—	—	—	—	—	Giữ
ADI	Analog Devices, Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	Bán
AI	C3.ai, Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	Bán

Base and Bull scenarios

Base65%

Price target

$460.57

-25.8% from spot

Teledyne delivers consistent execution in line with management guidance and mature compounder characteristics. Digital Imaging expands at ~7.5% and Aerospace/Defense grows at 7.2%, while Instrumentation delivers 5.7% growth. Free cash flow conversion remains healthy around 100% of net income, but present intrinsic value of $460.57 sits well below market trading levels.

Revenue growth decelerates gradually from 6.88% in FY2026 to 4.45% in FY2030, reaching $6,536.4M in FY2026
Operating margin expands 56 bps in FY2026 to 19.35% with steady expansion through FY2030
Net reinvestment rate scales from 12.0% to 15.0% of NOPAT, incorporating guided ~30% CapEx increase in FY2026
Terminal P/E multiple fades to 21.0x at 9.0455% cost of equity and 3.0% perpetual growth

Bull15%

Price target

$535.73

-13.7% from spot

Accelerating defense modernization across NATO allies, surging counter-UAS sensor procurement, and robust commercial aviation avionics orders drive organic top-line expansion above guided rates. High-fixed-cost absorption in sensor foundries lifts operating margins beyond 20.5%, generating free cash flow well in excess of $1.2 billion and powering accretive programmatic acquisitions.

Digital Imaging and Aerospace/Defense organic revenue growth exceeds 9.0%
Qioptiq and European defense optics sustain organic growth at or above 20% on NATO procurement
Consolidated GAAP operating margin expands above 20.5% through volume absorption and favorable sensor payload mix
Terminal forward multiple sustains premium valuation levels supported by robust defense electronics demand

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($460.57). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%	3.3%	3.5%
8.1%	$484	$491	$498	$506	$515
8.6%	$466	$472	$478	$484	$492
9.1%	$451	$456	$461	$466	$472
9.6%	$438	$441	$446	$450	$455
10.1%	$426	$429	$432	$436	$440

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Forward P/E23.6

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E29.8

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROEn/a

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROICn/a

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

Deeper analysis on TDY

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

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Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

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Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

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Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

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Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

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Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

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Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

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Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

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Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

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Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

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Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this TDY report

What is the latest published TDY stock rating?

Teledyne Technologies Incorporated is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-05. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full TDY analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-05, lives at /stocks/TDY/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for TDY?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-05 gives TDY a fair value of USD 461 and a potential value of USD 536. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the TDY page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-05). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

SellTDY · Fair value $461-25.8%

Read full analysis →

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	8.5
Balance Sheet	8.5
Profitability	5.5
Revenue Growth	6.0
Risk Assessment	8.0
Competitive Moat	7.5
Earnings Quality	9.0
Capital Efficiency	3.5

Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY)

Our latest published analysis: TDY rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · TDY

Valuation

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

Deeper analysis on TDY

Frequently asked questions

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