ZS is rated Hold at $152.13 versus the reconciled fair value midpoint of $164.73, implying +8.28% upside/downside. Confidence is separately disclosed at 76/100.
Bull: Zero Trust adoption accelerates, keeping revenue growth >20% for longer. Operating leverage kicks in as sales and marketing efficiencies improve, driving operating margins toward the 30% industry benchmark and supporting a premium multiple.
Platform Bundling Accelerates: Mega-cap competitors successfully bundle Zero Trust solutions, driving severe pricing compression and halting new customer acquisition.
ZS is rated Hold at $152.13 versus the reconciled fair value midpoint of $164.73, implying +8.28% upside/downside. Confidence is separately disclosed at 76/100.
Position sizing playbook →| Market cap | $24.5B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 3B | |
| Net income (ttm) | -67.6M | |
| EPS (ttm) | $-0.43 | |
| Shares out | 160.8M | |
| P/E (forward) | 33.2x | |
| Volume | 3,522,202 | |
| Beta | 0.96 | |
| Price target | $265 | +74.1% |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2022-07-31 | 2023-07-31 | 2024-07-31 | 2025-07-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $1.09B | $1.62B | $2.17B | $2.67B | +34.8% |
| Gross profit | $848.7M | $1.25B | $1.69B | $2.05B | +34.3% |
| Operating income | $-327.4M | $-234.6M | $-121.5M | $-127.1M | — |
| Net income | $-390.3M | $-202.3M | $-57.7M | $-41.5M | — |
| EPS (diluted) | $-2.77 | $-1.40 | $-0.39 | $-0.27 | — |
| EBITDA | $-277.6M | $-109.2M | $64.8M | $108.1M | — |
| R&D | $289.1M | $350.8M | $499.8M | $672.5M | +32.5% |
| SG&A | $887.0M | $1.14B | $1.31B | $1.51B | +19.4% |
| Model | Fair value (mid) | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Ev revenue | $180 | 85% |
| Peg adjusted peer | $76.43 | 15% |
| Reverse DCF | $0.00 | 0% |
| FCFF DCF | $0.00 | 0% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
Zero Trust adoption accelerates, keeping revenue growth >20% for longer. Operating leverage kicks in as sales and marketing efficiencies improve, driving operating margins toward the 30% industry benchmark and supporting a premium multiple.
The company sustains mid-to-high teens revenue growth over the medium term. Operating leverage materializes gradually, though persistent SBC limits immediate GAAP profitability. Fair value assumes strict normalization to industry average margins.
Competition from integrated platforms like Microsoft and Palo Alto Networks compresses margins and slows growth. Persistent high SBC continues to heavily dilute equity, eroding per-share value despite continued top-line growth.
| Model | Weight | FV / share | vs spot | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ev revenue | 85% | $180 | +18.5% | |
| Peg adjusted peer | 15% | $76.4 | -49.8% | |
| Reverse DCF | 0% | $0.00 | -100.0% | |
| FCFF DCF | 0% | $0.00 | -100.0% | |
| Composite FV (weighted) | 100% | $165 | +8.3% |
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.3% | $205 | $220 | $237 | $258 | $282 |
| 10.3% | $180 | $192 | $205 | $220 | $237 |
| 11.3% | $161 | $170 | $180 | $192 | $205 |
| 12.3% | $145 | $153 | $161 | $170 | $180 |
| 13.3% | $132 | $139 | $145 | $153 | $161 |
| Category | Weight | Score | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | 11% | 5.0 | |
| Management | 11% | 6.3 | |
| Balance Sheet | 11% | 6.0 | |
| Profitability | 11% | 1.5 | |
| Revenue Growth | 11% | 7.5 | |
| Risk Assessment | 11% | 6.5 | |
| Competitive Moat | 11% | 6.5 | |
| Earnings Quality | 11% | 3.0 | |
| Capital Efficiency | 11% | 2.5 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.