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ACN trades against a final fair-value range of $186.15-$261.24, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $186, high $261, with mid-point at $223.
Stock analysis

ACN fair value $186–$261

By StockMarketAgent.AI team· supervised by
Analizado: 2026-05-10Próxima actualización: 2026-08-10Methodology v2.5Review: automatedArchetype: Mature dividend
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Precio
$180.42
▲ +43.03 (+23.85%)
Valor razonable
$223
$186–$261
Calificación
Comprar
confidence 88/100
Potencial alcista
+23.9%
upside to fair value
Margen de seguridad
$189.93
MoS level · 15%
Capitalización bursátil
$111.0B
P/E fwd 12.1
Respaldo en inglésES
Mostrando la fuente en inglés mientras traducimos
Este informe aún no se ha traducido. Actualice en unos minutos una vez que la cola de traducción se ponga al día.

§1 Resumen ejecutivo

  • Composite fair value $223 with high case $261.
  • Implied upside of 23.9% to fair value.
  • Moat 9/10 · confidence 88/100 · Mature dividend.
  • Trades below fair value with a meaningful cushion to the midpoint.
Fair value
$223
Margin of safety
+19.3%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10

Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.

$180.42Price
Low $186.15
Mid $223.45
High $261.24

ACN trades against a final fair-value range of $186.15-$261.24, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

  • High switching costs associated with
    High switching costs associated with deeply integrated enterprise IT and ERP systems.
  • Intangible assets derived from specialized
    Intangible assets derived from specialized industry expertise and a massive global delivery network.
  • Bull thesis
    The market is over-penalizing near-term macro headwinds, ignoring Accenture's deep structural integration into critical enterprise workflows.

§2 Caso bajista

A severe macroeconomic downturn triggers sweeping IT budget freezes, stalling cloud migrations and AI projects. RevenueRevenueRevenue is an income-statement line item used to reconcile revenue to operating profit, pre-tax income, net income, or per-share earnings. It should be compared across periods and against peer disclosure conventions. contracts while high fixed labor costs compress operating margins below historical norms, dragging fair valueFair valueOur composite estimate of intrinsic per-share value, blended across DCF, exit-multiple, and reverse-DCF methods. Reported as a low/mid/high range to capture model uncertainty. down to the $186 floor.

Cómo puede fallar esta tesis

AI Displacement

· Medium

Agentic AI systems automate core coding and BPO tasks, collapsing Accenture's billable hour model and shrinking total addressable market.

FV impact
-25%
Trigger
3-5 years

Cloud Maturation

· High

Enterprise cloud migrations conclude sooner than expected, leaving a massive structural growth void unfulfilled by new AI initiatives.

FV impact
-15%
Trigger
2-3 years

Margin Collapse

· Low

Intense wage inflation and talent retention costs in global delivery centers severely compress historical operating margins.

FV impact
-20%
Trigger
1-2 years
Señales de alerta temprana a vigilar
MétricaActualUmbral de activación
Sequential declines in book-to-bill ratios consistently below 1.0x.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Unplanned, structural increases in bench time and utilization rate drops.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Deteriorating pricing power on large-scale managed services outsourcing contracts.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Rising voluntary attrition rates among key senior technical staff.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Slowing growth in the high-margin Song and Industry X divisions.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis

§3 Historial financiero

Cuenta de resultados — últimos seis períodos

Concepto2022-08-312023-08-312024-08-312025-08-31Trend
Ingresos$61.59B$64.11B+4.1%$64.90B+1.2%$69.67B+7.3%+4.2%
Beneficio bruto$19.70B$20.73B$21.16B$22.24B+4.1%
Beneficio operativo$9.37B$9.87B$10.03B$10.84B+5.0%
Beneficio neto$6.88B$6.87B-0.1%$7.26B+5.7%$7.68B+5.8%+3.7%
BPA (diluido)$10.71$10.77$11.44$12.15+4.3%
EBITDA$10.27B$10.25B$10.84B$11.87B+4.9%
I+D
SG&A$10.33B$10.86B$11.13B$11.39B+3.3%

Puntuaciones de calidad

Piotroski F-score
5 / 9
Compuesto de calidad 0–9
Altman Z-score
4.4
Riesgo de quiebra (>3 seguro)
Beneish M-score
-2.75
Riesgo de manipulación de beneficios
OCF / Beneficio neto
1.49×
>1 indica alta calidad de los beneficios
Umbral de calidad contable
Pass
Umbral ajustado por sector
ROIC
21.1%
Rentabilidad del capital invertido
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SCENARIOS FAQ

ACN scenarios questions

  1. Each scenario for ACN (ACN) carries a five-year price target, an explicit set of assumptions (growth, terminal multiple, margin path), and a probability weight calibrated against current visibility.
FAQ

ACN — frequently asked questions

  1. Based on our latest analysis, ACN looks meaningfully undervalued. The current price is $180 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $223 (range $186–$261), which implies roughly 23.9% upside to the midpoint.
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