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RTX Corporation (RTX)

NYSE: RTX · Real-Time Price · USD
$176
-0.69 (-0.4%)· Live
StockMarketAgent Research

Our analysis: RTX rated Hold

RTX is rated Hold at $176.09 versus the reconciled fair value midpoint of $185.40, implying +5.29% upside/downside. Confidence is separately disclosed at 88/100.

Fair value (mid)
$185 / share
$134 – $237
Upside to FV
+5.3%
from $176
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10
Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo
9-phase methodology · same model every month
Biggest opportunityBull case · highest-impact upside lever

Bull: Commercial flight hours exceed pre-pandemic trends indefinitely, driving outsized, high-margin aftermarket sales. Defense segment margins structurally improve as legacy fixed-price development programs mature and scale into highly profitable production runs.

Biggest riskTop kill scenario by severity
Supply Chain Collapse

Supply Chain Collapse: Protracted shortages in titanium and specialized aerospace components halt commercial aircraft deliveries, severely delaying backlog conversion and capping near-term cash generation.

Recommended actionConviction: high
Hold

RTX is rated Hold at $176.09 versus the reconciled fair value midpoint of $185.40, implying +5.29% upside/downside. Confidence is separately disclosed at 88/100.

Position sizing playbook →
Market cap$237.1B
Revenue (ttm)90.4B
Net income (ttm)7.3B
EPS (ttm)$5.33
Shares out1.3B
P/E (trailing)33.0x
P/E (forward)23.3x
Dividend$2.72 (1.54%)
Volume6,277,405
Beta0.30
Price target$204+16.0%
Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

RTX CorporationRTX
—
Loading chart…

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm)
90.4B
Net income (ttm)
7.3B
EPS (ttm)
$5.33
P/E (trailing)
33.0x
P/E (forward)
23.3x
Market cap
$237.1B

Scenarios & expected return

Probability-weighted: +5.3% expected return to fair value
Bull20%
Price target
$236.65
+34.4% from spot

Commercial flight hours exceed pre-pandemic trends indefinitely, driving outsized, high-margin aftermarket sales. Defense segment margins structurally improve as legacy fixed-price development programs mature and scale into highly profitable production runs.

  • Operating margins expand past 15%
  • Terminal growth remains robust at 3.5%
  • Defense budgets accelerate globally
Base60%
Price target
$185.40
+5.3% from spot

RTX converts its massive commercial and defense backlog at a steady pace. Modest supply chain headwinds persist but are offset by steady pricing power. Operating margins stabilize around 13%, and terminal multiple remains anchored at 20x.

  • Revenue growth compounds at ~6% over 5 years
  • Operating margins steady at ~13.1%
  • Terminal multiple held at 20.0x
Bear20%
Price target
$134.31
-23.7% from spot

Supply chain bottlenecks and raw material shortages become systemic, preventing commercial deliveries. Simultaneously, US defense budgets contract, limiting growth upside across the Raytheon and Pratt & Whitney segments and compressing consolidated margins.

  • Revenue growth decelerates below 4%
  • Operating margins compress to 10%
  • Terminal multiple contracts to 16x

Valuation models & bridge

Each model produces an independent fair value. Weighted average = $185.
ModelWeightFV / sharevs spotContribution
Discounted earnings10%$228+29.4%
Multi stage moat fade35%$163-7.2%
Owner earnings25%$216+22.5%
FCFF DCF15%$223+26.7%
Forward earnings10%$144-18.3%
Peg adjusted peer5%$72.5-58.8%
Reverse DCF0%$0.00-100.0%
Composite FV (weighted)100%$185+5.3%

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Ke ↓ / g →2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%4.0%
5.0%$257$308$337$337$337
6.0%$192$220$257$308$337
7.0%$154$171$192$220$257
8.0%$128$140$154$171$192
9.0%$110$118$128$140$154

Scorecard

Factor radar (left) · 9-category weighted composite (right)
ValuationManagementBalanceProfitabilityRevenueRiskCompetitiveEarningsCapital
Valuation5.0
Management6.9
Balance Sheet6.0
Profitability5.0
Revenue Growth6.0
Risk Assessment7.5
Competitive Moat9.0
Earnings Quality9.0
Capital Efficiency5.0
Weighted composite
6.6/10
Above average
CategoryWeightScoreReading
Valuation11%5.0
Management11%6.9
Balance Sheet11%6.0
Profitability11%5.0
Revenue Growth11%6.0
Risk Assessment11%7.5
Competitive Moat11%9.0
Earnings Quality11%9.0
Capital Efficiency11%5.0

Position sizing & entry playbook

Pre-committed rules, followed irrespective of news flow.
Conviction tier
High
Confidence 88/100
Target weight
Target neutral weight. Hold existing allocations given the balanced risk/reward at current valuation.
of equity sleeve
Accumulate on pullbacks below $165, where the moat-fade model indicates a margin of safety against execution risks.
Current / pullbacks
Current price
Today’s last trade
$176
Trim exposure dynamically if shares approach the $216 external internal valuation cross-checks without corresponding upside revisions to FCF generation.
Thesis break
Risk to thesis
  • Trim exposure dynamically if shares approach the $216 external internal valuation cross-checks without corresponding upside revisions to FCF generation.
Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming
DateLoading
Window—
EPS estimate—
Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-05-10 22:07 UTC
Forward P/E23.3
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
Trailing P/E0
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
ROE11.6
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
ROIC8.9
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
Benchmarks · 1M
S&P 500n/a
Nasdaq Compositen/a
Dow Jones Industrial Averagen/a
Russell 2000n/a

All RTX indicators

Market & fundamental data
Available fields
284
Groups with data
11
Currency
USD
Showing 284 of 284 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

26
MetricValue
Cik
0000101829
Company name
RTX Corporation
Country
United States
Country code
US
Cusip
75513E101
Employees
180,000
Employees Change
-6,000%
Employees Change Percent
-3.23
Enterprise value
$269.3B
Exchange
NYSE
Financial currency
USD
First seen
2026-05-09
In Index
SP500
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
Isin
US75513E1010
Last refreshed
2026-05-10
Market cap
$237.1B
Market cap category
Mega-Cap
Price
$176
Price currency
USD
Rev Per Employee
502,072.22x
Sector
Industrials
Sic
3724
Symbol
RTX
Tags
drones
Website
https://www.rtx.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

17
MetricValue
Earnings Yield
3.06%
EV Earnings
37.11x
EV Sales Forward
2.8x
EV/EBIT
24.78x
EV/EBITDA
17.64x
EV/FCF
31.84x
EV/Sales
2.98x
FCF yield
3.57%
Forward P/E
25.54x
P/B ratio
3.58x
P/E ratio
33.03x
P/S ratio
2.62x
PE Ratio10 Y
28.31x
PE Ratio3 Y
36.27x
PE Ratio5 Y
35.74x
PEG ratio
2.5x
PS Forward
2.46x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

26
MetricValue
EBIT Margin
12.02%
EBITDA Margin
16.89%
FCF margin
9.36%
Gross margin
20.21%
Gross Profit
$18.3B
Gross Profit Growth
14.42%
Gross Profit Growth Q
11.61%
Gross Profit Growth3 Y
9.06%
Gross Profit Growth5 Y
16.41%
Net Income
$7.3B
Net Income Growth
57.74%
Net Income Growth Q
34.14%
Net Income Growth Quarters
4%
Net Income Growth Years
2%
Net Income Growth3 Y
9.42%
Pretax Margin
10.29%
Profit Margin
8.03%
Profit Per Employee
$40,311
Profitable Years
5
ROA
4.05
Roa5y
2.92
ROCE
9.71
ROE
11.57
Roe5y
7.36
ROIC
8.89
Roic5y
6.31

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

29
MetricValue
Cagr10y
14.06%
Cagr15y
10.96%
Cagr1y
40.47%
Cagr20y
10.43%
Cagr3y
24.85%
Cagr5y
18.11%
Div CAGR10
0.71%
Div CAGR3
7.34%
Div CAGR5
7.44%
EPS Growth
56.15
EPS Growth Q
32.46
EPS Growth Quarters
4
EPS Growth Years
2
EPS Growth3 Y
12.52
FCF Growth
55.15%
FCF Growth Q
65.28%
FCF Growth3 Y
34.7%
FCF Growth5 Y
36.16%
OCF Growth
36.88%
OCF Growth Q
42.15%
OCF Growth10 Y
11.8%
OCF Growth3 Y
24.01%
OCF Growth5 Y
24.86%
Revenue Growth
10.56x
Revenue Growth Q
8.72x
Revenue Growth Quarters
10x
Revenue Growth Years
7x
Revenue Growth3 Y
9.64x
Revenue Growth5 Y
8.36x

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

22
MetricValue
Asset Turnover
$0.54
Assets
$170.4B
Cash
$6.8B
Current Assets
$60B
Current Liabilities
$58.6B
Debt
$38.9B
Debt EBITDA
$2.47
Debt Equity
$0.57
Debt FCF
$4.6
Equity
$68B
Interest Coverage
6.25
Liabilities
$102.4B
Long Term Assets
$110.4B
Long Term Liabilities
$43.8B
Net Cash
$-32.1B
Net Cash By Market Cap
$-13.54
Net Debt EBITDA
$2.1
Net Debt Equity
$0.47
Net Debt FCF
$3.8
Tangible Book Value
$-18.5B
Tangible Book Value Per Share
$-13.72
WACC
5.59

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

6
MetricValue
Current ratio
1.02
Inventory Turnover
5.19
Net Working Capital
$-949M
Quick ratio
0.65
Working Capital
$1.4B
Working Capital Turnover
$105

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

10
MetricValue
Buyback Yield
-0.92%
Dividend Growth
7.78%
Dividend Growth Years
4%
Dividend per share
$2.72
Dividend Years
56
Dividend Yield
1.54%
Ex Div Date
2026-05-22
Last Dividend
$0.73
Payout Frequency
Quarterly
Payout Ratio
51.97%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

42
MetricValue
10Y total return
272.72%
1Y total return
40.44%
200-day SMA
179.3
3Y total return
94.65%
50-day SMA
193.8
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA
50over200
5Y total return
129.77%
All Time High
214.5
All Time High Change
-17.91%
All Time High Date
2026-03-03
All Time Low
0.08
All Time Low Change
209,033.02%
All Time Low Date
1970-07-07
ATR
4.53
Beta
0.3
Beta1y
0.6
Beta2y
0.66
Ch YTD
-3.99
High
177.1
High52
214.5
High52 Date
2026-03-03
High52ch
-17.91%
Low
174.6
Low52
126
Low52 Date
2025-05-09
Low52ch
39.72%
Ma50ch
-9.12%
Premarket Change Percent
-0.07
Premarket Price
$177
Premarket Volume
9,194
Price vs 200-day SMA
-1.8%
RSI
36.55
RSI Monthly
63.19
RSI Weekly
44.08
Sharpe ratio
1.4x
Sortino ratio
2.5
Total Return
0.63%
Tr YTD
-3.67
Tr15y
375.73%
Tr1m
-11.03%
Tr1w
1.21%
Tr3m
-11.07%

Analyst estimates

Ratings, targets, revisions, and forward estimate fields.

18
MetricValue
Analyst Count
12
Analyst Count Top
9
Analyst Price Target Top
$205
Analyst Ratings
Buy
Analyst Ratings Top
Buy
Earnings EPS Estimate
$1.52
Earnings EPS Estimate Growth
3.4
Earnings Revenue Estimate
21,497,567,434x
Earnings Revenue Estimate Growth
5.87x
Operating Income
$10.9B
Operating Income Growth
22.08
Operating Income Growth Q
21.2
Operating Income Growth3 Y
10.8
Operating Income Growth5 Y
45.37
Operating margin
12.02
Price target
$204
Price Target Change
$15.99
Price Target Change Top
$16.42

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

11
MetricValue
Float
1,252,504,233%
Float Percent
93.01%
Net Borrowing
-3,920,000,000
Shares Insiders
0.07%
Shares Institutions
80.36%
Shares Out
1,346,683,428
Shares Qo Q
0.21%
Shares Yo Y
0.92%
Short Float
1.06%
Short Ratio
3.09
Short Shares
0.99

Other indicators

Additional ticker metrics that do not fit the primary research groupings yet.

77
MetricValue
Adjusted FCF
$7.3B
Average Volume
5,638,097.9x
Bv Per Share
49.22
CAPEX
$-2.7B
Ch10y
74.14
Ch15y
97.39
Ch1m
-11.03
Ch1w
1.21
Ch1y
38.11
Ch20y
171.3
Ch3m
-11.36
Ch3y
82.33
Ch5y
105.4
Ch6m
-0.5
Change
-0.39%
Change From Open
-0.07
Close
176.8
Days Gap
-0.32
Depreciation Amortization
4,397,000,000
Dollar Volume
1,105,388,246.5
Earnings Date
2026-04-21
Earnings Time
bmo
EBIT
$10.9B
EBITDA
$15.3B
EPS
$5.33
F Score
8
FCF
$8.5B
FCF EV Yield
3.14x
FCF Per Share
$6.28
Financing CF
-8,270,000,000
Fiscal Year End
December
Founded
1,934
Goodwill
53,276,000,000
Graham Number
76.82993
Graham Upside
-56.37
Income Tax
$1.7B
Investing CF
-1,195,000,000
Is Primary Listing
1
Is Spac
No
Last Earnings Date
2026-04-21
Last Report Date
2026-03-31
Last Split Date
2005-06-13
Last Split Type
Forward
Last10k Filing Date
2026-02-06
Lynch Fair Value
$50.2
Lynch Upside
-71.49
Ma150
186.4
Ma150ch
-5.56%
Ma20
183
Ma20ch
-3.77%
Net CF
1,678,000,000
Next Earnings Date
2026-07-21
Open
176.2
Optionable
Yes
P FCF Ratio
28.04
P OCF Ratio
21.33
Payment Date
2026-06-11
Position In Range
59.84
Post Close
176.1
Postmarket Change Percent
-0.05
Postmarket Price
$176
Ppne
18,615,000,000
Pre Close
176.8
Price Date
2026-05-08
Price EBITDA
$15.54
Relative Volume
1.11x
Revenue
90,373,000,000x
SBC By Revenue
1.26x
Share Based Comp
1,138,000,000
Tax By Revenue
1.87x
Tax Rate
18.22%
Tr20y
627.74%
Tr6m
0.23%
Us State
Virginia
Views
151
Volume
6,277,405
Z Score
2.52

Deeper analysis on RTX

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need
Forecast
Bull, base, and bear cases with expected-return framing.
→
Valuation
Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.
→
Sensitivity
Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.
→
Risks
Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.
→
Earnings
Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.
→
Position sizing
Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.
→
Financials
Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.
→
Peers
Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.
→
Moat
Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.
→
Industry cycle
Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.
→
Scorecard
Six-factor overlay and 9-category weighted scorecard.
→
Recommendation
Final action, action steps, opportunity, and biggest risk.
→
Perspectives
Growth, value, and income investor reads.
→
Archive
Prior monthly reports and rating changes.
→

Frequently asked questions

About this RTX report
What is the current RTX stock rating?
RTX Corporation is currently shown with Hold in the latest report. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.
Where can I read the full RTX analysis?
The full report lives at /stocks/RTX/analysis. The bare ticker page is a product hub that summarizes the latest read and sends readers into the relocated analysis tabs without making the analysis surface depend on the hub.
What fair-value range is used for RTX?
The latest report frames RTX around $134 to $237. Treat that range as the entry point, then check the valuation, sensitivity, and bear-case tabs before making an investment decision.
How often is the RTX page updated?
The hub updates with the latest published stock report and live backend market data. The analysis pages remain reachable under /analysis, so a hub rollback does not remove the report reader.
HoldRTX · Fair value $185+5.3% · Confidence 88/100
Read full analysis →