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Direct answer
SCHW trades against a final fair-value range of $60.25-$102.26, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $60.3, high $102, with mid-point at $81.0.
Stock analysis

SCHW fair value $60–$102

By StockMarketAgent.AI team· supervised by
تحلیل شد: 2026-05-09به‌روزرسانی بعدی: 2026-08-09Methodology v2.5Review: automatedArchetype: Financial
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قیمت
$88.61
▼ -7.66 (-8.64%)
ارزش منصفانه
$81
$60–$102
رتبه‌بندی
نگه‌داری
confidence 88/100
پتانسیل رشد
-8.6%
upside to fair value
حاشیه ایمنی
$68.81
MoS level · 15%
ارزش بازار
$155.3B
P/E fwd 12.7
منبع انگلیسیFA
منبع انگلیسی تا زمان ترجمه نمایش داده می‌شود
این گزارش هنوز ترجمه نشده است. پس از چند دقیقه، زمانی که صف ترجمه به‌روز شد، صفحه را تازه کنید.

§1 خلاصه اجرایی

  • Composite fair value $81 with high case $102.
  • Implied downside of 8.6% to fair value.
  • Moat 9/10 · confidence 88/100 · Financial.
  • Currently screens above fair value, so patience matters more than entry speed.
Fair value
$81
Margin of safety
-9.5%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10

Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.

$88.61Price
Low $60.25
Mid $80.95
High $102.26

SCHW trades against a final fair-value range of $60.25-$102.26, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

  • Massive client asset scale enabling
    Massive client asset scale enabling structural cost advantages.
  • High switching costs for integrated
    High switching costs for integrated advisory and brokerage clients.
  • Cycle upside
    Rate stabilization and equity market appreciation drive robust net new asset growth and end the cash sorting headwind.

§2 سناریوی نزولی

A protracted higher-for-longer rate environment coupled with an equity market drawdown would simultaneously compress net interest margins via cash sorting and reduce asset management fees, severely impacting free cash flowFree cash flowOperating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The cash a business generates after maintaining and growing its asset base — the closest accounting proxy for owner-economics. generation.

چگونگی شکست این تز

Persistent Cash Sorting

· Medium

Higher-for-longer rates trigger an accelerated wave of deposit sorting, compressing NIM and forcing reliance on high-cost wholesale funding.

FV impact
-25%

Regulatory Capital Squeeze

· Low

Stricter capital requirements significantly impair ROE, limiting buybacks, dividends, and overall organic compounding capacity.

FV impact
-15%

Advisory Fee Compression

· Medium

Intense competitive pressure from low-cost robo-advisors drives structural fee compression in the core wealth management segment.

FV impact
-20%
سیگنال‌های هشدار اولیه برای پایش
معیارفعلیآستانه فعال‌سازی
Accelerated decline in low-cost sweep deposit balances.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Contraction in Net Interest Margin (NIM) absent rate cuts.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Net new asset (NNA) growth falling below 5% annualized.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Increased reliance on high-cost wholesale borrowing.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Announcements of stricter regulatory capital minimums.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis

§3 تاریخچه مالی

صورت سود و زیان — شش دوره اخیر

ردیف2021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-312025-12-31Trend
درآمد$18.52B$20.76B+12.1%$18.84B-9.2%$19.61B+4.1%$23.92B+22.0%+6.6%
سود ناخالص
سود عملیاتی
سود خالص$5.86B$7.18B+22.5%$5.07B-29.4%$5.94B+17.2%$8.85B+49.0%+10.9%
EPS (رقیق‌شده)$3.50$2.54$2.99$4.65+7.4%
EBITDA
تحقیق و توسعه
هزینه‌های عمومی و فروش$5.94B$6.36B$6.71B$6.44B$6.91B+3.9%

امتیازات کیفیت

OCF / سود خالص
1.05×
>۱ نشان‌دهنده کیفیت بالای سود
دروازه کیفیت حسابداری
Pass
دروازه تعدیل‌شده بخشی
ROIC
بازده سرمایه‌گذاری‌شده
مشترکان فردی — از §۴ به بعد11 بخش بیشتر

تحلیل کامل را بخوانید — 11 بخش بیشتر.

Competitive moat, industry cycle, peer comparison, intrinsic valuation, sensitivity, scenarios, earnings decision tree, position management, investor perspectives, scorecard, and final recommendation.

گزارش کامل برای هر نماد تحت پوشش
بایگانی ۲۴ ماه رتبه‌بندی
بریفینگ‌های فهرست مشاهده + هشدارهای تغییر رتبه
خروجی PDF + DOCX به هر زبان
شروع آزمایش رایگان
قابل لغو در هر زمان.
INCOME STATEMENT FAQ

SCHW income statement questions

  1. Our financial-history view of SCHW (SCHW) covers revenue, gross profit, operating income, and net income across the past five fiscal years, with year-over-year growth and margin context for each line.
FAQ

SCHW — frequently asked questions

  1. Based on our latest analysis, SCHW screens modestly overvalued. The current price is $88.6 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $81.0 (range $60.3–$102), which implies roughly 8.6% downside to the midpoint.
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