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SPGI trades against a final fair-value range of $350.68-$583.71, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $351, high $584, with mid-point at $467.
Stock analysis

SPGI fair value $351–$584

By StockMarketAgent.AI team· supervised by
विश्लेषित: 2026-05-10अगला अद्यतन: 2026-08-10Methodology v2.5Review: automatedArchetype: Mature compounder
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मूल्य
$420.12
▲ +46.83 (+11.15%)
उचित मूल्य
$467
$351–$584
रेटिंग
ख़रीद
confidence 88/100
ऊपरी अंतर
+11.2%
upside to fair value
सुरक्षा मार्जिन
$396.91
MoS level · 15%
बाज़ार पूंजीकरण
$124.4B
P/E fwd 18.9
अंग्रेज़ी फ़ॉलबैकHI
अनुवाद होने तक अंग्रेज़ी स्रोत दिखा रहा है
इस रिपोर्ट का अभी अनुवाद नहीं हुआ है। अनुवाद कतार पकड़ने पर कुछ मिनट में रिफ़्रेश करें।

§1 कार्यकारी सारांश

  • Composite fair value $467 with high case $584.
  • Implied upside of 11.2% to fair value.
  • Moat 9/10 · confidence 88/100 · Mature compounder.
  • Trades at a measured discount to fair value with adequate margin of safety.
Fair value
$467
Margin of safety
+10.0%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10

Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.

$420.12Price
Low $350.68
Mid $466.95
High $583.71

SPGI trades against a final fair-value range of $350.68-$583.71, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

  • Intangible assets via brand reputation
    Intangible assets via brand reputation in credit ratings
  • Network effects in index inclusion
    Network effects in index inclusion (S&P 500, Dow Jones)
  • Cycle upside
    Accelerating debt maturity walls and strong equity market performance drive robust ratings issuance and AUM-linked index fee growth.

§2 बेयर केस

A sustained 30% drop in global debt issuance combined with a 10% reduction in AUM-linked index fees would contract operating margins below 40%, dropping intrinsic valueIntrinsic valueThe discounted present value of all cash a business will produce over its remaining life. The theoretical anchor for fair value, computed in practice as a range across explicit assumptions. below the $350 downside boundary.

इस थीसिस के टूटने के तरीक़े

Structural Debt Market Freeze

· Medium

Prolonged higher-for-longer interest rates and tightening credit conditions permanently reset debt issuance volumes lower, structurally damaging the highest-margin ratings segment.

FV impact
-25%

Index Fee Commoditization

· Low

Major asset managers successfully renegotiate index licensing fees downward, directly compressing the operating margins of the S&P Dow Jones Indices segment.

FV impact
-15%

M&A Integration Failure

· Low

Inability to realize expected revenue and cost synergies from the IHS Markit acquisition leads to sustained margin dilution and impaired return on invested capital.

FV impact
-10%
निगरानी हेतु शीघ्र चेतावनी संकेत
मेट्रिकवर्तमानट्रिगर सीमा
Consecutive quarters of declining billed debt issuance volumes.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Contraction in S&P Dow Jones Indices operating margins.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Increase in capex-to-depreciation ratio above 100% signaling loss of capital-light nature.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Slowing organic growth in Market Intelligence subscription revenues.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Unplanned management departures within the acquired IHS Markit divisions.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis

§3 वित्तीय इतिहास

आय विवरण — पिछले छह कालखंड

लाइन आइटम2022-12-312023-12-312024-12-312025-12-31Trend
राजस्व$11.18B$12.50B+11.8%$14.21B+13.7%$15.34B+8.0%+11.1%
सकल लाभ$7.43B$8.36B$9.85B$10.77B+13.2%
परिचालन आय$3.02B$4.05B$5.48B$6.18B+27.0%
शुद्ध आय$3.25B$2.63B-19.1%$3.85B+46.4%$4.47B+16.1%+11.2%
EPS (डाइल्यूटेड)$10.20$8.23$12.35$14.66+12.9%
EBITDA$6.02B$5.15B$6.78B$7.69B+8.5%
R&D
SG&A$3.40B$3.16B$3.20B$3.42B+0.2%

गुणवत्ता स्कोर

Piotroski F-स्कोर
7 / 9
0–9 गुणवत्ता समग्र
Altman Z-स्कोर
4.1
दिवालियापन जोखिम (>3 सुरक्षित)
Beneish M-स्कोर
-2.45
आय में हेरफेर का जोखिम
OCF / शुद्ध आय
1.26×
>1 उच्च आय गुणवत्ता दर्शाता है
लेखा गुणवत्ता गेट
Pass
सेक्टर-समायोजित गेट
ROIC
11.5%
निवेशित पूँजी पर प्रतिफल
व्यक्तिगत सब्सक्राइबर — §4 आगे11 और खंड

पूरा विश्लेषण पढ़ें — 11 और खंड.

Competitive moat, industry cycle, peer comparison, intrinsic valuation, sensitivity, scenarios, earnings decision tree, position management, investor perspectives, scorecard, and final recommendation.

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INTRINSIC VALUE FAQ

SPGI intrinsic value questions

  1. SPGI (SPGI)'s intrinsic value is triangulated from discounted earnings at two cost-of-equity levels (strict CAPM with raw beta, moderate with adjusted beta), with owner earnings used as a floor for high-growth names.
FAQ

SPGI — frequently asked questions

  1. Based on our latest analysis, SPGI looks modestly undervalued. The current price is $420 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $467 (range $351–$584), which implies roughly 11.2% upside to the midpoint.
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Same archetype: mature-compounder