TMO trades against a final fair-value range of $384.14-$618.78, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $384, high $619, with mid-point at $501.
Trades at a measured discount to fair value with adequate margin of safety.
Fair value
$501
Margin of safety
+5.3%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10
Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.
$474.46Price
Low $384.14
Mid $500.89
High $618.78
TMO trades against a final fair-value range of $384.14-$618.78, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.
High Switching Costs
High Switching Costs
Unmatched Scale
Unmatched Scale
Cycle upside
Accelerating biopharma R&D spend, robust FDA approvals, and strong academic funding drive demand for tools and bioproduction.
Each scenario for TMO (TMO) carries a five-year price target, an explicit set of assumptions (growth, terminal multiple, margin path), and a probability weight calibrated against current visibility.
Probability weights start from a 25/50/25 default and are asymmetry-adjusted: when downside risk is elevated, base + bear gain weight; when visibility is high (long RPO, multi-year contracts), bull and base both gain.
Expected return is the probability-weighted average of the three scenario returns. The expected-value table reports the weighted price, weighted return, and asymmetry to help the reader compare risk-reward against the rating band.
When our composite fair value differs from private calibration references by more than 30%, the calibration-divergence diagnostic is run to identify which assumptions drive the gap; the result is summarised in the parent valuation surface.
FAQ
TMO — frequently asked questions
Based on our latest analysis, TMO looks modestly undervalued. The current price is $474 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $501 (range $384–$619), which implies roughly 5.6% upside to the midpoint.
Our composite fair-value range for TMO is $384–$619, with a midpoint of $501. The range is triangulated across multiple valuation models (discounted earnings, forward earnings scenarios, peer multiples, and where applicable owner earnings or reverse DCF) and weighted by reliability for TMO's archetype.
Our current rating for TMO is Hold with a confidence score of 88/100. TMO is rated Hold at $474.46 versus the reconciled fair value midpoint of $500.89, implying +5.57% upside/downside. Confidence is separately disclosed at 88/100. This is research for educational purposes, not personalized investment advice.
The top risks our latest report flags for TMO are: Prolonged Biopharma Funding Winter; M&A Engine Stalls Under Debt Load; Severe Integration Failure. The single biggest risk is Prolonged Biopharma Funding Winter: Extended depression in early-stage biotech funding permanently impairs the growth trajectory of the life sciences solutions segment.
Our current rating for TMO is Hold, issued with a confidence score of 88/100 and a moat score of 9/10. The rating reflects the composite fair-value range ($384–$619) versus the current price of $474.
TMO is classified as a mature compounder stock. Archetype determines how every downstream parameter — discount rate, terminal growth, deceleration curve, terminal multiple, scenario probability weights, scorecard weights, and which valuation models are prioritized — is calibrated for TMO.