Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO)

NASDAQ: CSCO · USD

—

英語版にフォールバックJA

翻訳中のため英語版を表示しています

このレポートはまだ翻訳されていません。翻訳キューが追いついたら数分後に更新してください。

StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-09-08

Our latest published analysis: CSCO rated Reduce

Cisco Systems Inc.'s published Reduce conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$90.5 / share

Potential value

$136 / share

Upside to FV

-17.1%

Moat

5.5/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$430.5B
P/E (forward)	20.2x

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

P/E (forward): 20.2x
Market cap: $430.5B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2022-07-30	2023-07-29	2024-07-27	2025-07-26	2026-07-25	Trend
Revenue	$51.56B	$57.00B	$53.80B	$56.65B	$63.33B	+5.3%
Gross profit	$32.25B	$35.75B	$34.83B	$36.79B	$40.86B	+6.1%
Operating income	$13.97B	$15.03B	$12.18B	$11.76B	$15.37B	+2.4%
Net income	$11.81B	$12.61B	$10.32B	$10.18B	$13.27B	+2.9%
EPS (diluted)	$2.82	$3.07	$2.54	$2.55	$3.33	+4.2%
EBITDA	$16.79B	$17.47B	$15.75B	$15.38B	$20.02B	+4.5%
R&D	$6.77B	$7.55B	$7.98B	$9.30B	$9.56B	+9.0%
SG&A	$2.10B	$2.48B	$2.81B	$2.98B	$2.76B	+7.1%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
ABBV	AbbVie Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	売り
ABT	Abbott Laboratories	—	—	—	—	—	—	縮小
ACN	Accenture plc	—	—	—	—	—	—	ホールド
AAPL	Apple Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	売り
ADBE	Adobe Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	強い買い
ADI	Analog Devices, Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	売り

Base and Bull scenarios

Base60%

Price target

$90.47

-17.2% from spot

Cash remains durable, margins stay near the FY2026 baseline, and diluted shares continue to decline. This path fails if annual revenue or cash breaches the cited tests.

Post-event growth converts into annual results, then returns toward mature growth.

Bull20%

Price target

$135.76

+24.3% from spot

Upside persists if higher estimates become reported sales, cash remains durable, and diluted shares keep declining. Margin stagnation or renewed dilution would disconfirm this path.

Demand stays strong, supply remains adequate, and sourcing benefits become visible in margins.

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($90.47). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	1.5%	2.0%	2.5%	3.0%	3.5%
6.0%	$104	$109	$115	$124	$136
7.0%	$93.2	$96.4	$100	$105	$111
8.0%	$85.9	$88.0	$90.5	$93.4	$97.1
9.0%	$80.3	$81.8	$83.5	$85.5	$87.9
10.0%	$75.9	$77.0	$78.3	$79.7	$81.3

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Forward P/E20.2

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E32.8

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROEn/a

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROICn/a

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

Deeper analysis on CSCO

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this CSCO report

What is the latest published CSCO stock rating?

Cisco Systems Inc. is shown with Reduce in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-08. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full CSCO analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-08, lives at /stocks/CSCO/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for CSCO?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-09-08 gives CSCO a fair value of USD 90 and a potential value of USD 136. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the CSCO page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-09-08). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

ReduceCSCO · Fair value $90.5-17.1%

Read full analysis →

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	3.0
Management	6.5
Balance Sheet	4.0
Profitability	7.5
Revenue Growth	7.5
Risk Assessment	5.0
Competitive Moat	5.5
Earnings Quality	9.0
Capital Efficiency	6.5

Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO)

Our latest published analysis: CSCO rated Reduce

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · CSCO

Valuation

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

Deeper analysis on CSCO

Frequently asked questions

レーティング履歴