The Home Depot, Inc. (HD)

NYSE: HD · USD

$317

-1.05 (-0.3%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-09-08

Our latest published analysis: HD rated Sell

The Home Depot, Inc.'s published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$216 / share

Potential value

$307 / share

Upside to FV

-32.8%

from $317

Moat

1/10

None

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$320.3B
Revenue (ttm)	169.2B
Net income (ttm)	14.2B
EPS (ttm)	$14.3
Shares out	997.7M
P/E (trailing)	22.2x
P/E (forward)	21.2x
Dividend	$9.32 (2.93%)
Volume	2,244,572
Beta	1.00

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 169.2B
Net income (ttm): 14.2B
EPS (ttm): $14.3
P/E (trailing): 22.2x
P/E (forward): 21.2x
Market cap: $320.3B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2022-01-30	2023-01-29	2024-01-28	2025-02-02	2026-02-01	Trend
Revenue	$151.16B	$157.40B	$152.67B	$159.51B	$164.68B	+2.2%
Gross profit	$50.83B	$52.78B	$50.96B	$53.31B	$54.87B	+1.9%
Operating income	$23.04B	$24.04B	$21.69B	$21.53B	$20.89B	-2.4%
Net income	$16.43B	$17.11B	$15.14B	$14.81B	$14.16B	-3.7%
EPS (diluted)	$15.53	$16.69	$15.11	$14.91	$14.23	-2.2%
EBITDA	$25.95B	$27.07B	$25.11B	$25.44B	$24.29B	-1.6%
R&D	—	—	—	—	—	—
SG&A	$25.41B	$26.28B	$26.60B	$28.75B	$30.70B	+4.8%

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ACN	Accenture plc	144.3B	18.0x	2.0x	27.9%	+8.0%	+0.4%	ホールド
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AMZN	Amazon.com Inc.	2.7T	20.5x	3.5x	11.9%	+11.8%	+12.2%	売り
APTV	Aptiv PLC	9.1B	42.8x	0.4x	7.8%	+5.5%	-49.2%	買い

Base and Bull scenarios

Base60%

Price target

$215.78

-32.8% from spot

Sales recover at a low-single-digit rate through the year ending 2028-01-31, consistent with the annual revenue estimate. Even with that recovery, the report-date market valuation remains above the $215.78 fair-value midpoint.

Sales reach roughly the mid analyst estimate for the year ending 2028-01-31
Cash generation stays near the level reported for the year ended 2026-02-01

Bull20%

Price target

$306.96

-4.4% from spot

Demand returns faster, earnings per share reach the upper end of the estimate range for the year ending 2028-01-31, and investors continue to award the same earnings multiple. Meaningful upside requires stronger earnings and sustained valuation support at the same time.

Earnings per share reach the high end of the estimate range for the year ending 2028-01-31
Free cash improves from the $12.65 billion reported for the year ended 2026-02-01

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($215.78). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	1.5%	2.0%	2.5%	3.0%	3.5%
6.8%	$248	$259	$272	$289	$310
7.8%	$222	$230	$239	$249	$262
8.8%	$203	$209	$216	$222	$230
9.8%	$188	$192	$197	$202	$208
10.8%	$176	$179	$182	$186	$190

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E21.2

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E22.5

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE104.3

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC20.1

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All HD indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

292

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 292 of 292 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0000354950
Company name	The Home Depot, Inc.
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	437076102
Earnings date	2026-11-17
Earnings time	bmo
Employees	472,400
Employees change	2,300
Employees growth	0.49%
Enterprise value	$377.8B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-08-02
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	February
Founded	1978
In index	SP500, DOW30
Industry	Home Improvement Retail
IPO date	1981-09-22
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US4370761029
Last 10-K release date	2026-03-18
Last earnings date	2026-08-18
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	1999-12-31
Last stock split type	Forward
Market cap	$316.7B
Market cap category	Mega-Cap
Next earnings date	2026-11-17
Options	Yes
Price	$317.46
Price currency	USD
Sector	Consumer Discretionary
SIC code	5211
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	HD
U.S. state	Georgia
Website	https://www.homedepot.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	21.44x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	22.39x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	24.24x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	22.57x
Earnings yield	4.5%
EV/Earnings	26.68x
EV/EBIT	18.67x
EV/EBITDA	15.4x
EV/FCF	25.14x
EV/Sales	2.24x
FCF / EV yield	3.98%
FCF yield	4.74%
Forward EV/Sales	2.18x
Forward P/E	20.68x
Forward P/S	1.83x
Graham number	73.17223
Graham upside	-77.08%
Industry forward P/E	19.29x
Industry P/E	20.59x
Lynch fair value	$71.46
Lynch upside	-77.62%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	21.91x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	17.48x
P/B ratio	19.13x
P/E ratio	22.21x
P/FCF ratio	21.1x
P/OCF ratio	16.96x
P/S ratio	1.88x
PEG ratio	2.38x
Price/EBITDA ratio	12.92x
Sector forward P/E	24.24x
Sector P/E	30.29x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	12.02%
EBITDA margin	14.57%
Effective tax rate	24.11%
FCF margin	8.93%
Gross margin	32.8%
Operating margin	12.02%
Pretax margin	11.08%
Profit margin	8.41%
Profit per employee	$30,116
Profitable quarters	70
Profitable years	35
Revenue per employee	$358,120
ROA	12.14%
ROA (5Y)	17.35%
ROCE	27.34%
ROE	104.3%
ROIC	20.08%
ROIC (5Y)	32.84%
SBC / revenue	0.33%
Tax / revenue	2.67%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	-2.85%
EPS growth (Q)	4.59%
EPS growth (QoQ)	45.15%
EPS growth 10Y	9.24%
EPS growth 3Y	-3.71%
EPS growth 5Y	0.13%
EPS growth quarters	1
EPS growth years	0
FCF growth	6.11%
FCF growth (Q)	21.04%
FCF growth (QoQ)	-13.07%
FCF growth 3Y	-2.46%
FCF growth 5Y	5.63%
Gross profit growth	0.82%
Gross profit growth (Q)	2.02%
Gross profit growth 3Y	2.28%
Gross profit growth 5Y	2.65%
Net income growth	-2.75%
Net income growth (Q)	4.72%
Net income growth (QoQ)	44.91%
Net income growth 3Y	-4.3%
Net income growth 5Y	-1.37%
Net income growth quarters	1
Net income growth years	0
OCF growth	5.08%
OCF growth (Q)	16.09%
OCF growth (QoQ)	-10.64%
OCF growth 10Y	6.17%
OCF growth 3Y	-1.48%
OCF growth 5Y	6.11%
Operating income growth	-5.85%
Operating income growth (Q)	-6.12%
Operating income growth 3Y	-4.07%
Operating income growth 5Y	-1.69%
Revenue growth	2.5%
Revenue growth (Q)	5.71%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	14.6%
Revenue growth 10Y	6.28%
Revenue growth 3Y	2.99%
Revenue growth 5Y	3.22%
Revenue growth quarters	2
Revenue growth years	2

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-3.7B
Depreciation and amortization	$4.3B
EBIT	$20.3B
EBITDA	$24.6B
EPS	$14.29
FCF per share	$15.13
Financing cash flow	$-9.4B
Free cash flow	$15.1B
Free cash flow minus SBC	$14.5B
Gross profit	$55.5B
Income taxes	$4.5B
Investing cash flow	$-10.1B
Net borrowing	$-426M
Net cash flow	$-719M
Net income	$14.2B
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$18.2B
Operating income	$20.3B
Revenue	$169.2B
Stock-based compensation	$560M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	5.76
Book value per share	$16.65
Debt / EBITDA	2.32
Debt / equity	3.8
Debt / FCF	4.18
Goodwill	$22.9B
Interest coverage	8.42
Long-term assets	$71.7B
Long-term liabilities	$57.8B
Net cash (debt)	$-61.1B
Net cash / market cap	-19.18%
Net debt / EBITDA	2.48
Net debt / equity	3.68
Net debt / FCF	4.05
Piotroski F-Score	5
Property, plant and equipment	$37.4B
Shareholders' equity	$16.6B
Tangible book value	$-16.8B
Tangible book value per share	$-16.80
Total assets	$109.4B
Total cash	$2.1B
Total debt	$63.2B
Total liabilities	$92.8B
WACC	8.61%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	1.62
Current assets	$37.7B
Current liabilities	$35B
Current ratio	1.08
Inventory turnover	4.4
Net working capital	$11.1B
Quick ratio	0.26
Working capital	$2.7B
Working capital turnover	46.5

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	-0.2%
Dividend growth	1.53%
Dividend growth (10Y)	13.32%
Dividend growth (3Y)	4.38%
Dividend growth (5Y)	7.57%
Dividend growth years	16
Dividend payment date	2026-09-17
Dividend payment years	40
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$9.32
Dividend yield	2.93%
Ex-dividend date	2026-09-03
FCF payout ratio	61.58%
Last dividend	$2.33
Payout ratio	65.21%
Shareholder yield	2.72%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	160.13%
10Y return CAGR	12.75%
10Y total return	231.98%
150-day SMA	$323.53
15Y price change	754.49%
15Y return CAGR	18.11%
15Y total return	1,113.76%
1D price change	-0.33%
1M price change	8.47%
1M total return	8.47%
1W price change	0.93%
1W total return	0.93%
1Y price change	-17.45%
1Y return CAGR	-15.12%
1Y total return	-15.11%
20-day SMA	$302.28
200-day SMA	$334.79
20Y price change	757.94%
20Y return CAGR	14.22%
20Y total return	1,328.61%
3M price change	-5.37%
3M total return	-4.67%
3Y price change	15.04%
3Y return CAGR	7.5%
3Y total return	24.25%
50-day SMA	$308.82
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50under200
52-week high	$397.63
52-week high date	2026-02-12
52-week low	$277.15
52-week low date	2026-10-01
5Y price change	-14.58%
5Y return CAGR	-0.62%
5Y total return	-3.04%
6M price change	-4.29%
6M total return	-2.86%
All-time high	$439.37
All-time high date	2024-11-26
All-time low	$0.23
All-time low date	1985-08-16
Average true range (ATR)	$6.93
Average volume	4.8M
Beta (1Y)	0.84
Beta (2Y)	0.74
Beta (5Y)	1
Change from 52-week high	-20.16%
Change from 52-week low	14.54%
Change from all-time high	-27.61%
Change from all-time low	137,878.31%
Change from open	-0.04%
Day's gap	-0.28%
Dollar volume	$712.6M
High price	$321.50
Low price	$316.48
Monthly RSI	44.8
Open price	$317.60
Position in 52-week range	19.52%
Premarket change	-0.69%
Premarket close	$318.50
Premarket price	$316.30
Premarket volume	5.2K
Previous close	$318.50
Price vs 150-day SMA	-1.7%
Price vs 20-day SMA	5.21%
Price vs 200-day SMA	-5%
Price vs 50-day SMA	2.98%
Relative volume	0.47
RSI	60.49
Sharpe ratio	-0.64
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.21
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	-0.03
Sortino ratio	-0.71
Sortino ratio (3Y)	0.57
Sortino ratio (5Y)	0.19
Volume	2.2M
Weekly RSI	47.89
YTD price change	-7.57%
YTD total return	-5.57%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	996M
Float percentage	99.83%
Shares change (QoQ)	0%
Shares change (YoY)	0.2%
Shares held by insiders	0.06%
Shares held by institutions	76.4%
Shares outstanding	997.7M
Short % of float	1.16%
Short % of shares	1.15%
Short ratio	2.4 days

Other indicators

Additional ticker metrics that do not fit the primary research groupings.

Metric	Value
Page views	362

Deeper analysis on HD

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Scorecard

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this HD report

What is the latest published HD stock rating?

The Home Depot, Inc. is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-08. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full HD analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-08, lives at /stocks/HD/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for HD?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-09-08 gives HD a fair value of USD 216 and a potential value of USD 307. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the HD page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-09-08). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

SellHD · Fair value $216-32.8%

Read full analysis →

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD)

Our latest published analysis: HD rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · HD

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All HD indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Other indicators

Deeper analysis on HD

Frequently asked questions

レーティング履歴

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	6.5
Balance Sheet	3.5
Profitability	7.0
Revenue Growth	6.0
Risk Assessment	4.0
Competitive Moat	1.0
Earnings Quality	6.0
Capital Efficiency	7.5