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ACN trades against a final fair-value range of $186.15-$261.24, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $186, high $261, with mid-point at $223.
Stock analysis

ACN Accenture plc fair value $223–$261

ACN
By StockMarketAgent.AI team· supervised by
분석일: 2026-05-10다음 업데이트: 2026-08-10Methodology v2.4Archetype: Mature dividendNYSE · Information Technology
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주가
$180.42
▲ +43.03 (+23.85%)
공정 가치
$223
$223–$261
등급
매수
confidence 88/100
상승 여력
+23.9%
upside to fair value
안전 마진
$189.93
buy below · 15%
시가총액
$111.0B
P/E fwd 12.1
영어 원본으로 대체KO
번역하는 동안 영어 원본을 표시 중
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§1 개요

  • Composite fair value $223 with high case $261.
  • Implied upside of 23.9% to fair value.
  • Moat 9/10 · confidence 88/100 · Mature dividend.
  • Trades below fair value with a meaningful cushion to the midpoint.
Fair value
$223
Margin of safety
+19.3%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10

Educational analysis only — not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.

$180.42Price
FV $223.45
High $261.24

ACN trades against a final fair-value range of $186.15-$261.24, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

  • High switching costs associated with
    High switching costs associated with deeply integrated enterprise IT and ERP systems.
  • Intangible assets derived from specialized
    Intangible assets derived from specialized industry expertise and a massive global delivery network.
  • Bull thesis
    The market is over-penalizing near-term macro headwinds, ignoring Accenture's deep structural integration into critical enterprise workflows.

§2 베어 케이스

A severe macroeconomic downturn triggers sweeping IT budget freezes, stalling cloud migrations and AI projects. Revenue contracts while high fixed labor costs compress operating margins below historical norms, dragging fair valueFair valueOur composite estimate of intrinsic per-share value, blended across DCF, exit-multiple, and reverse-DCF methods. Reported as a low/mid/high range to capture model uncertainty. down to the $186 floor.

이 논제가 무너지는 경로

AI Displacement

· Medium

Agentic AI systems automate core coding and BPO tasks, collapsing Accenture's billable hour model and shrinking total addressable market.

FV impact
-25%
Trigger
3-5 years

Cloud Maturation

· High

Enterprise cloud migrations conclude sooner than expected, leaving a massive structural growth void unfulfilled by new AI initiatives.

FV impact
-15%
Trigger
2-3 years

Margin Collapse

· Low

Intense wage inflation and talent retention costs in global delivery centers severely compress historical operating margins.

FV impact
-20%
Trigger
1-2 years
모니터링할 조기 경보 신호
지표현재트리거 임계값
Sequential declines in book-to-bill ratios consistently below 1.0x.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Unplanned, structural increases in bench time and utilization rate drops.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Deteriorating pricing power on large-scale managed services outsourcing contracts.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Rising voluntary attrition rates among key senior technical staff.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Slowing growth in the high-margin Song and Industry X divisions.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis

§3 재무 이력

손익계산서 — 최근 6기
항목T−0T−1T−2T−3CAGR
기간2022-08-312023-08-312024-08-312025-08-31Trend
매출$61.59B$64.11B$64.90B$69.67B+4.2%
매출총이익$19.70B$20.73B$21.16B$22.24B+4.1%
영업이익$9.37B$9.87B$10.03B$10.84B+5.0%
순이익$6.88B$6.87B$7.26B$7.68B+3.7%
EPS (희석)$10.71$10.77$11.44$12.15+4.3%
EBITDA$10.27B$10.25B$10.84B$11.87B+4.9%
R&D
판관비$10.33B$10.86B$11.13B$11.39B+3.3%

품질 점수

Piotroski F-스코어
5 / 9
0–9 품질 종합
Altman Z-스코어
4.4
파산 위험 (>3 안전)
Beneish M-스코어
-2.75
이익 조작 위험
OCF / 순이익
1.49×
>1은 이익의 질이 높음을 의미
회계 품질 게이트
Pass
섹터 조정 게이트
ROIC
21.1%
투하자본수익률
섹션 3

Numbers analysis

개인 구독자 — §4부터11개 섹션 더

전체 분석 읽기 — 11개 섹션 더.

Competitive moat, industry cycle, peer comparison, intrinsic valuation, sensitivity, scenarios, earnings decision tree, position management, investor perspectives, scorecard, and final recommendation.

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FAQ

ACN — frequently asked questions

  1. Based on our latest analysis, ACN looks meaningfully undervalued. The current price is $180 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $223 (range $186–$261), which implies roughly 23.9% upside to the midpoint.
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