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ABT trades against a final fair-value range of $87.24-$127.26, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $87.2, high $127, with mid-point at $107.
Stock analysis

ABT fair value $87–$127

By StockMarketAgent.AI team· supervised by
Geanalyseerd: 2026-05-09Volgende update: 2026-08-09Methodology v2.5Review: automatedArchetype: Mature dividend
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Koers
$84.32
▲ +22.70 (+26.92%)
Fair value
$107
$87–$127
Beoordeling
Sterk kopen
confidence 88/100
Opwaarts potentieel
+26.9%
upside to fair value
Veiligheidsmarge
$90.97
MoS level · 15%
Marktkapitalisatie
$146.9B
P/E fwd 13.9
Engelse bronNL
Engelse bron wordt weergegeven terwijl we vertalen
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§1 Samenvatting

  • Composite fair value $107 with high case $127.
  • Implied upside of 26.9% to fair value.
  • Moat 9/10 · confidence 88/100 · Mature dividend.
  • Trades below fair value with a meaningful cushion to the midpoint.
Fair value
$107
Margin of safety
+21.2%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10

Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.

$84.32Price
Low $87.24
Mid $107.02
High $127.26

ABT trades against a final fair-value range of $87.24-$127.26, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

  • Diversified portfolio across high-margin medical
    Diversified portfolio across high-margin medical devices, diagnostics, and nutrition.
  • Entrenched global distribution networks and
    Entrenched global distribution networks and vast regulatory expertise.
  • Cycle upside
    Aging demographic tailwinds and normalized elective procedure volumes drive sustained, high-margin medical device demand.

§2 Berenscenario

A macroeconomic shock would compress ABT's normalized 17% operating margins. Given the rigid 67% dividend payout ratioPayout ratioDividends per share divided by EPS. Measures how much of earnings the company distributes versus retains for reinvestment., resultant FCFFree cash flowOperating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The cash a business generates after maintaining and growing its asset base — the closest accounting proxy for owner-economics. drops would severely restrict capital flexibility for M&A and R&D, forcing increased balance sheet leverageLeverageThe proportion of debt in the company's capital structure. Commonly measured as Debt/EBITDA, Debt/Equity, or Net Debt/EBITDA..

Hoe deze these kan breken

Libre Market Share Loss

· Low

Next-gen competitive continuous glucose monitors or GLP-1 drug advancements severely erode FreeStyle Libre adoption, cratering high-margin medical device growth.

FV impact
Valuation drops toward $87.24 bear case floor.

Nutrition Margin Collapse

· Medium

Persistent input cost inflation and generic competition fundamentally impair the pediatric and adult nutrition segments' operating leverage.

FV impact
Drives a 15% contraction to the Base Fair Value.

Dividend Sustainability Crisis

· Low

Sustained FCF deterioration due to aggressive pricing pressure forces a dividend cut, shattering the mature dividend payer archetype premium.

FV impact
Breaks DDM valuation floor of $56.35.
Vroege waarschuwingssignalen om te volgen
MetriekHuidigTrigger-drempel
Operating margins contracting sustainably below the 15% threshold.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio falling below 1.0x.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
FreeStyle Libre revenue growth decelerating to single digits globally.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Piotroski F-score remaining below 3 for three consecutive quarters.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Dividend payout ratio structurally exceeding 85% of free cash flow.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis

§3 Financiële historie

Winst-en-verliesrekening — laatste zes perioden

Post2021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-312025-12-31Trend
Omzet$43.08B$43.65B+1.3%$40.11B-8.1%$41.95B+4.6%$44.33B+5.7%+0.7%
Brutowinst$24.54B$24.51B$22.13B$23.24B$25.01B+0.5%
Bedrijfsresultaat$8.43B$8.36B$6.48B$6.83B$8.05B-1.1%
Nettowinst$7.07B$6.93B-2.0%$5.72B-17.5%$13.40B+134.3%$6.52B-51.3%-2.0%
WPA (verwaterd)$3.91$3.26$7.64$3.72-1.2%
EBITDA$12.28B$12.13B$10.54B$10.79B$12.08B-0.4%
R&D$2.74B$2.89B$2.74B$2.84B$2.94B+1.8%
VAA$11.32B$11.25B$10.95B$11.70B$12.33B+2.2%

Kwaliteitsscores

Piotroski F-score
2 / 9
0–9 kwaliteitscomposiet
OCF / Nettowinst
1.47×
>1 wijst op hoge winstkwaliteit
Drempel boekhoudkwaliteit
Fail
Sector-aangepaste drempel
ROIC
10.7%
Rendement op geïnvesteerd kapitaal
Individuele abonnees — vanaf §411 extra secties

Lees de volledige analyse — 11 extra secties.

Competitive moat, industry cycle, peer comparison, intrinsic valuation, sensitivity, scenarios, earnings decision tree, position management, investor perspectives, scorecard, and final recommendation.

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SCENARIOS FAQ

ABT scenarios questions

  1. Each scenario for ABT (ABT) carries a five-year price target, an explicit set of assumptions (growth, terminal multiple, margin path), and a probability weight calibrated against current visibility.
FAQ

ABT — frequently asked questions

  1. Based on our latest analysis, ABT looks meaningfully undervalued. The current price is $84.3 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $107 (range $87.2–$127), which implies roughly 26.9% upside to the midpoint.
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Same archetype: mature-dividend