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GE Aerospace (GE)

NYSE: GE · Real-Time Price · USD
$297
-5.48 (-1.8%)· Live
StockMarketAgent Research

Our analysis: GE rated Sell

GE is rated Sell at $297.15 versus the reconciled fair value midpoint of $183.99, implying -38.08% upside/downside. Confidence is separately disclosed at 81/100.

Fair value (mid)
$184 / share
$132 – $236
Upside to FV
-38.1%
from $297
Confidence
81/100
Moat
9/10
Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo
9-phase methodology · same model every month
Biggest opportunityBull case · highest-impact upside lever

internal valuation cross-checks of $350 aggressively extrapolate peak multiples.

Biggest riskTop kill scenario by severity
MRO Margin Compression

MRO Margin Compression: LEAP engine aftermarket margins structurally fail to reach legacy peaks due to higher durability costs.

Recommended actionConviction: high
Sell

GE is rated Sell at $297.15 versus the reconciled fair value midpoint of $183.99, implying -38.08% upside/downside. Confidence is separately disclosed at 81/100.

Position sizing playbook →
Market cap$310.5B
Revenue (ttm)48.3B
Net income (ttm)8.6B
EPS (ttm)$8.12
Shares out1B
P/E (trailing)36.9x
P/E (forward)34.3x
Dividend$1.88 (0.63%)
Volume3,952,215
Beta1.35
Price target$345+16.2%
Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

GE AerospaceGE
—
Loading chart…

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm)
48.3B
Net income (ttm)
8.6B
EPS (ttm)
$8.12
P/E (trailing)
36.9x
P/E (forward)
34.3x
Market cap
$310.5B

Scenarios & expected return

Probability-weighted: -47.1% expected return to fair value
Bull20%
Price target
$235.97
-20.6% from spot

Unprecedented pricing power in MRO and prolonged legacy fleet utilization drive upside cash flows, yet shares still fail to justify the current $297 price.

  • Revenue growth sustains at 7.0%
  • Terminal multiple holds at 25x
  • Margins expand past 22.0%
Base60%
Price target
$183.99
-38.1% from spot

Steady aerospace cycle recovery continues, but current market exuberance reverses as terminal growth normalizes. The implied 14.5% perpetual growth is rejected.

  • Revenue growth fades to 5.5%
  • Terminal multiple anchors at 20x
  • Operating margins normalize at 19.5%
Bear20%
Price target
$132.35
-55.5% from spot

Airlines delay fleet upgrades and shop visits due to macro weakness. Supply chain friction destroys near-term operating leverage, forcing severe multiple contraction.

  • Revenue growth fades to 4.0%
  • Terminal multiple drops to 15x
  • Operating margins compress to 15.0%

Valuation models & bridge

Each model produces an independent fair value. Weighted average = $184.
ModelWeightFV / sharevs spotContribution
Multi stage moat fade35%$181-39.2%
Owner earnings20%$282-5.1%
Discounted earnings15%$128-57.0%
Forward earnings15%$157-47.1%
FCFF DCF10%$175-40.9%
Peg adjusted peer5%$81.7-72.5%
Reverse DCF0%$0.00-100.0%
Ddm0%$33.0-88.9%
Composite FV (weighted)100%$184-38.1%

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Ke ↓ / g →2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%4.0%
7.7%$185$203$225$252$275
8.7%$157$170$185$203$225
9.7%$137$146$157$170$185
10.7%$121$128$137$146$157
11.7%$108$114$121$128$137

Scorecard

Factor radar (left) · 9-category weighted composite (right)
ValuationManagementBalanceProfitabilityRevenueRiskCompetitiveEarningsCapital
Valuation5.0
Management6.9
Balance Sheet5.0
Profitability7.5
Revenue Growth7.5
Risk Assessment6.0
Competitive Moat9.0
Earnings Quality6.0
Capital Efficiency5.0
Weighted composite
6.4/10
Above average
CategoryWeightScoreReading
Valuation11%5.0
Management11%6.9
Balance Sheet11%5.0
Profitability11%7.5
Revenue Growth11%7.5
Risk Assessment11%6.0
Competitive Moat11%9.0
Earnings Quality11%6.0
Capital Efficiency11%5.0

Position sizing & entry playbook

Pre-committed rules, followed irrespective of news flow.
Conviction tier
High
Confidence 81/100
Target weight
Zero. Sell.
of equity sleeve
Avoid completely at current levels. Look for technical breakdowns below the 200-day moving average ($298) and reversion toward $184.
Current / pullbacks
Current price
Today’s last trade
$297
Liquidate existing positions to harvest peak-cycle multiples. A 34x forward P/E on a mature aerospace industrial is mathematically unsustainable.
Thesis break
Risk to thesis
  • Liquidate existing positions to harvest peak-cycle multiples. A 34x forward P/E on a mature aerospace industrial is mathematically unsustainable.
Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming
DateLoading
Window—
EPS estimate—
Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-05-10 22:07 UTC
Forward P/E34.3
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
Trailing P/E0
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
ROE45.4
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
ROIC29.4
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
Benchmarks · 1M
S&P 500n/a
Nasdaq Compositen/a
Dow Jones Industrial Averagen/a
Russell 2000n/a

All GE indicators

Market & fundamental data
Available fields
278
Groups with data
11
Currency
USD
Showing 278 of 278 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

25
MetricValue
Cik
0000040545
Company name
GE Aerospace
Country
United States
Country code
US
Cusip
369604301
Employees
57,000
Employees Change
4,000%
Employees Change Percent
7.55
Enterprise value
$320.8B
Exchange
NYSE
Financial currency
USD
First seen
2026-05-09
In Index
SP500
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
Isin
US3696043013
Last refreshed
2026-05-10
Market cap
$310B
Market cap category
Mega-Cap
Price
$297
Price currency
USD
Rev Per Employee
847,596.49x
Sector
Industrials
Sic
3600
Symbol
GE
Website
https://www.geaerospace.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

16
MetricValue
Earnings Yield
2.78%
EV Earnings
37.16x
EV Sales Forward
6.31x
EV/EBIT
32.72x
EV/EBITDA
29.06x
EV/FCF
43.03x
EV/Sales
6.64x
FCF yield
2.4%
Forward P/E
38.34x
P/B ratio
17.17x
P/E ratio
36.89x
P/S ratio
6.42x
PE Ratio3 Y
30.99x
PE Ratio5 Y
155.66x
PEG ratio
2.66x
PS Forward
6.1x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

25
MetricValue
EBIT Margin
20.29%
EBITDA Margin
22.84%
FCF margin
15.43%
Gross margin
31.15%
Gross Profit
$15B
Gross Profit Growth
18.96%
Gross Profit Growth Q
18.67%
Gross Profit Growth3 Y
10.04%
Gross Profit Growth5 Y
-1.3%
Net Income
$8.6B
Net Income Growth
23.37%
Net Income Growth Q
-3.74%
Net Income Growth Years
1%
Net Income Growth3 Y
0.1%
Pretax Margin
20.6%
Profit Margin
17.86%
Profit Per Employee
$151,421
Profitable Years
4
ROA
4.85
Roa5y
2.27
ROCE
11.09
ROE
45.43
Roe5y
18.61
ROIC
29.39
Roic5y
15.94

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

28
MetricValue
Cagr10y
8.77%
Cagr15y
9.92%
Cagr1y
42.34%
Cagr20y
5.36%
Cagr3y
55.71%
Cagr5y
35.66%
Div CAGR10
-14.43%
Div CAGR3
69.2%
Div CAGR5
37.1%
EPS Growth
26.3
EPS Growth Q
-1.85
EPS Growth Years
1
EPS Growth3 Y
1.14
FCF Growth
77.97%
FCF Growth Q
14.68%
FCF Growth3 Y
14.39%
FCF Growth5 Y
76.52%
OCF Growth
69.4%
OCF Growth Q
20.81%
OCF Growth10 Y
-4.78%
OCF Growth3 Y
12.52%
OCF Growth5 Y
36.88%
Revenue Growth
21.75x
Revenue Growth Q
24.74x
Revenue Growth Quarters
8x
Revenue Growth Years
3x
Revenue Growth3 Y
-3.2x
Revenue Growth5 Y
-8.03x

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

22
MetricValue
Asset Turnover
$0.38
Assets
$128.4B
Cash
$10.6B
Current Assets
$40.4B
Current Liabilities
$40B
Debt
$21.3B
Debt EBITDA
$1.87
Debt Equity
$1.17
Debt FCF
$2.86
Equity
$18.3B
Interest Coverage
9.54
Liabilities
$110.1B
Long Term Assets
$88.1B
Long Term Liabilities
$70.1B
Net Cash
$-10.7B
Net Cash By Market Cap
$-3.46
Net Debt EBITDA
$0.97
Net Debt Equity
$0.59
Net Debt FCF
$1.44
Tangible Book Value
$4.9B
Tangible Book Value Per Share
$4.7
WACC
11.2

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

6
MetricValue
Current ratio
1.01
Inventory Turnover
2.7
Net Working Capital
$-7.9B
Quick ratio
0.65
Working Capital
$334M
Working Capital Turnover
$32.56

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

10
MetricValue
Buyback Yield
2.37%
Dividend Growth
29.17%
Dividend Growth Years
2%
Dividend per share
$1.88
Dividend Years
56
Dividend Yield
0.63%
Ex Div Date
2026-03-09
Last Dividend
$0.47
Payout Frequency
Quarterly
Payout Ratio
19.09%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

42
MetricValue
10Y total return
131.77%
1Y total return
42.3%
200-day SMA
299
3Y total return
277.62%
50-day SMA
301
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA
50over200
5Y total return
359.39%
All Time High
484
All Time High Change
-38.61%
All Time High Date
2000-08-28
All Time Low
5
All Time Low Change
5,843%
All Time Low Date
1974-09-13
ATR
10.8
Beta
1.35
Beta1y
1.12
Beta2y
1.36
Ch YTD
-3.53
High
305.4
High52
348.5
High52 Date
2026-02-25
High52ch
-14.73%
Low
296.8
Low52
210.5
Low52 Date
2025-05-08
Low52ch
41.16%
Ma50ch
-1.27%
Premarket Change Percent
0.68
Premarket Price
$305
Premarket Volume
217,989
Price vs 200-day SMA
-0.63%
RSI
51.33
RSI Monthly
64.13
RSI Weekly
49.4
Sharpe ratio
1.18x
Sortino ratio
1.89
Total Return
3%
Tr YTD
-3.39
Tr15y
313.46%
Tr1m
2.96%
Tr1w
3.71%
Tr3m
-7.3%

Analyst estimates

Ratings, targets, revisions, and forward estimate fields.

17
MetricValue
Analyst Count
12
Analyst Count Top
8
Analyst Price Target Top
$342
Analyst Ratings
Strong Buy
Analyst Ratings Top
Strong Buy
Earnings EPS Estimate
$1.61
Earnings EPS Estimate Growth
8.05
Earnings Revenue Estimate
10,672,727,306x
Earnings Revenue Estimate Growth
7.43x
Operating Income
$9.8B
Operating Income Growth
14.43
Operating Income Growth Q
14.7
Operating Income Growth3 Y
41.6
Operating margin
20.29
Price target
$345
Price Target Change
$16.19
Price Target Change Top
$15.01

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

11
MetricValue
Float
1,039,398,765%
Float Percent
99.62%
Net Borrowing
195,000,000
Shares Insiders
0.19%
Shares Institutions
80.79%
Shares Out
1,043,337,235
Shares Qo Q
-0.45%
Shares Yo Y
-2.37%
Short Float
1.22%
Short Ratio
2.27
Short Shares
1.21

Other indicators

Additional ticker metrics that do not fit the primary research groupings yet.

76
MetricValue
Adjusted FCF
$7.5B
Average Volume
6,895,854.9x
Bv Per Share
17.31
CAPEX
$-1.4B
Ch10y
23.32
Ch15y
85.63
Ch1m
2.96
Ch1w
3.71
Ch1y
41.55
Ch20y
5.64
Ch3m
-7.43
Ch3y
196.4
Ch5y
179.3
Ch6m
-3.29
Change
-1.81%
Change From Open
-2.4
Close
302.6
Days Gap
0.6
Depreciation Amortization
1,233,000,000
Dollar Volume
1,174,400,687.3
Earnings Date
2026-04-21
Earnings Time
bmo
EBIT
$9.8B
EBITDA
$11B
EPS
$8.12
F Score
5
FCF
$7.5B
FCF EV Yield
2.32x
FCF Per Share
$7.15
Financing CF
-9,229,000,000
Fiscal Year End
December
Founded
1,892
Goodwill
9,003,000,000
Graham Number
56.22381
Graham Upside
-81.08
Income Tax
$1.4B
Investing CF
-1,755,000,000
Is Primary Listing
1
Is Spac
No
Last Earnings Date
2026-04-21
Last Report Date
2026-03-31
Last Split Date
2021-08-02
Last Split Type
Reverse
Last10k Filing Date
2026-01-29
Lynch Fair Value
$40.59
Lynch Upside
-86.34
Ma150
305.4
Ma150ch
-2.7%
Ma20
294.3
Ma20ch
0.96%
Net CF
-2,074,000,000
Next Earnings Date
2026-07-16
Open
304.5
Optionable
Yes
P FCF Ratio
41.59
P OCF Ratio
35.03
Payment Date
2026-04-27
Position In Range
3.73
Post Close
297.2
Postmarket Change Percent
0.11
Postmarket Price
$297
Ppne
7,973,000,000
Pre Close
302.6
Price Date
2026-05-08
Price EBITDA
$28.09
Ptbv Ratio
63.23
Relative Volume
0.57x
Revenue
48,313,000,000x
Tax By Revenue
2.84x
Tax Rate
13.81%
Tr20y
184.24%
Tr6m
-3.04%
Us State
Ohio
Views
174
Volume
3,952,215
Z Score
3.2

Deeper analysis on GE

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need
Forecast
Bull, base, and bear cases with expected-return framing.
→
Valuation
Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.
→
Sensitivity
Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.
→
Risks
Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.
→
Earnings
Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.
→
Position sizing
Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.
→
Financials
Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.
→
Peers
Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.
→
Moat
Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.
→
Industry cycle
Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.
→
Scorecard
Six-factor overlay and 9-category weighted scorecard.
→
Recommendation
Final action, action steps, opportunity, and biggest risk.
→
Perspectives
Growth, value, and income investor reads.
→
Archive
Prior monthly reports and rating changes.
→

Frequently asked questions

About this GE report
What is the current GE stock rating?
GE Aerospace is currently shown with Sell in the latest report. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.
Where can I read the full GE analysis?
The full report lives at /stocks/GE/analysis. The bare ticker page is a product hub that summarizes the latest read and sends readers into the relocated analysis tabs without making the analysis surface depend on the hub.
What fair-value range is used for GE?
The latest report frames GE around $132 to $236. Treat that range as the entry point, then check the valuation, sensitivity, and bear-case tabs before making an investment decision.
How often is the GE page updated?
The hub updates with the latest published stock report and live backend market data. The analysis pages remain reachable under /analysis, so a hub rollback does not remove the report reader.
SellGE · Fair value $184-38.1% · Confidence 81/100
Read full analysis →