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ABT trades against a final fair-value range of $87.24-$127.26, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $87.2, high $127, with mid-point at $107.
Stock analysis

ABT fair value $87–$127

By StockMarketAgent.AI team· supervised by
Analisado: 2026-05-09Próxima atualização: 2026-08-09Methodology v2.5Review: automatedArchetype: Mature dividend
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Preço
$84.32
▲ +22.70 (+26.92%)
Valor justo
$107
$87–$127
Classificação
Compra forte
confidence 88/100
Potencial de alta
+26.9%
upside to fair value
Margem de segurança
$90.97
MoS level · 15%
Capitalização de mercado
$146.9B
P/E fwd 13.9
Fonte em inglêsPT
Exibindo a fonte em inglês enquanto traduzimos
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§1 Resumo executivo

  • Composite fair value $107 with high case $127.
  • Implied upside of 26.9% to fair value.
  • Moat 9/10 · confidence 88/100 · Mature dividend.
  • Trades below fair value with a meaningful cushion to the midpoint.
Fair value
$107
Margin of safety
+21.2%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10

Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.

$84.32Price
Low $87.24
Mid $107.02
High $127.26

ABT trades against a final fair-value range of $87.24-$127.26, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

  • Diversified portfolio across high-margin medical
    Diversified portfolio across high-margin medical devices, diagnostics, and nutrition.
  • Entrenched global distribution networks and
    Entrenched global distribution networks and vast regulatory expertise.
  • Cycle upside
    Aging demographic tailwinds and normalized elective procedure volumes drive sustained, high-margin medical device demand.

§2 Cenário pessimista

A macroeconomic shock would compress ABT's normalized 17% operating margins. Given the rigid 67% dividend payout ratioPayout ratioDividends per share divided by EPS. Measures how much of earnings the company distributes versus retains for reinvestment., resultant FCFFree cash flowOperating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The cash a business generates after maintaining and growing its asset base — the closest accounting proxy for owner-economics. drops would severely restrict capital flexibility for M&A and R&D, forcing increased balance sheet leverageLeverageThe proportion of debt in the company's capital structure. Commonly measured as Debt/EBITDA, Debt/Equity, or Net Debt/EBITDA..

Como esta tese pode falhar

Libre Market Share Loss

· Low

Next-gen competitive continuous glucose monitors or GLP-1 drug advancements severely erode FreeStyle Libre adoption, cratering high-margin medical device growth.

FV impact
Valuation drops toward $87.24 bear case floor.

Nutrition Margin Collapse

· Medium

Persistent input cost inflation and generic competition fundamentally impair the pediatric and adult nutrition segments' operating leverage.

FV impact
Drives a 15% contraction to the Base Fair Value.

Dividend Sustainability Crisis

· Low

Sustained FCF deterioration due to aggressive pricing pressure forces a dividend cut, shattering the mature dividend payer archetype premium.

FV impact
Breaks DDM valuation floor of $56.35.
Sinais de alerta antecipado para monitorar
MétricaAtualLimite de gatilho
Operating margins contracting sustainably below the 15% threshold.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio falling below 1.0x.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
FreeStyle Libre revenue growth decelerating to single digits globally.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Piotroski F-score remaining below 3 for three consecutive quarters.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Dividend payout ratio structurally exceeding 85% of free cash flow.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis

§3 Histórico financeiro

Demonstração de resultados — últimos seis períodos

Item2021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-312025-12-31Trend
Receita$43.08B$43.65B+1.3%$40.11B-8.1%$41.95B+4.6%$44.33B+5.7%+0.7%
Lucro bruto$24.54B$24.51B$22.13B$23.24B$25.01B+0.5%
Lucro operacional$8.43B$8.36B$6.48B$6.83B$8.05B-1.1%
Lucro líquido$7.07B$6.93B-2.0%$5.72B-17.5%$13.40B+134.3%$6.52B-51.3%-2.0%
LPA (diluído)$3.91$3.26$7.64$3.72-1.2%
EBITDA$12.28B$12.13B$10.54B$10.79B$12.08B-0.4%
P&D$2.74B$2.89B$2.74B$2.84B$2.94B+1.8%
SG&A$11.32B$11.25B$10.95B$11.70B$12.33B+2.2%

Pontuações de qualidade

Piotroski F-score
2 / 9
Composto de qualidade 0–9
OCF / Lucro líquido
1.47×
>1 indica alta qualidade dos lucros
Limite de qualidade contábil
Fail
Limite ajustado ao setor
ROIC
10.7%
Retorno sobre o capital investido
Assinantes individuais — a partir do §411 seções a mais

Leia a análise completa — 11 seções a mais.

Competitive moat, industry cycle, peer comparison, intrinsic valuation, sensitivity, scenarios, earnings decision tree, position management, investor perspectives, scorecard, and final recommendation.

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MARGINS FAQ

ABT margins questions

  1. ABT (ABT)'s margin set covers gross margin, operating margin, net margin, and free-cash-flow margin. The five-year trajectory is plotted so the reader can separate cyclical noise from secular trend.
FAQ

ABT — frequently asked questions

  1. Based on our latest analysis, ABT looks meaningfully undervalued. The current price is $84.3 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $107 (range $87.2–$127), which implies roughly 26.9% upside to the midpoint.
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