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ACN trades against a final fair-value range of $186.15-$261.24, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $186, high $261, with mid-point at $223.
Stock analysis

ACN Accenture plc fair value $223–$261

ACN
By StockMarketAgent.AI team· supervised by
Проанализировано: 2026-05-10Следующее обновление: 2026-08-10Methodology v2.4Archetype: Mature dividendNYSE · Information Technology
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Цена
$180.42
▲ +43.03 (+23.85%)
Справедливая стоимость
$223
$223–$261
Рекомендация
Покупать
confidence 88/100
Потенциал роста
+23.9%
upside to fair value
Запас прочности
$189.93
buy below · 15%
Капитализация
$111.0B
P/E fwd 12.1
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§1 Краткое резюме

  • Composite fair value $223 with high case $261.
  • Implied upside of 23.9% to fair value.
  • Moat 9/10 · confidence 88/100 · Mature dividend.
  • Trades below fair value with a meaningful cushion to the midpoint.
Fair value
$223
Margin of safety
+19.3%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10

Educational analysis only — not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.

$180.42Price
FV $223.45
High $261.24

ACN trades against a final fair-value range of $186.15-$261.24, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

  • High switching costs associated with
    High switching costs associated with deeply integrated enterprise IT and ERP systems.
  • Intangible assets derived from specialized
    Intangible assets derived from specialized industry expertise and a massive global delivery network.
  • Bull thesis
    The market is over-penalizing near-term macro headwinds, ignoring Accenture's deep structural integration into critical enterprise workflows.

§2 Медвежий сценарий

A severe macroeconomic downturn triggers sweeping IT budget freezes, stalling cloud migrations and AI projects. Revenue contracts while high fixed labor costs compress operating margins below historical norms, dragging fair valueFair valueOur composite estimate of intrinsic per-share value, blended across DCF, exit-multiple, and reverse-DCF methods. Reported as a low/mid/high range to capture model uncertainty. down to the $186 floor.

Как может разрушиться эта теза

AI Displacement

· Medium

Agentic AI systems automate core coding and BPO tasks, collapsing Accenture's billable hour model and shrinking total addressable market.

FV impact
-25%
Trigger
3-5 years

Cloud Maturation

· High

Enterprise cloud migrations conclude sooner than expected, leaving a massive structural growth void unfulfilled by new AI initiatives.

FV impact
-15%
Trigger
2-3 years

Margin Collapse

· Low

Intense wage inflation and talent retention costs in global delivery centers severely compress historical operating margins.

FV impact
-20%
Trigger
1-2 years
Сигналы раннего предупреждения для мониторинга
МетрикаТекущееТриггерный порог
Sequential declines in book-to-bill ratios consistently below 1.0x.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Unplanned, structural increases in bench time and utilization rate drops.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Deteriorating pricing power on large-scale managed services outsourcing contracts.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Rising voluntary attrition rates among key senior technical staff.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Slowing growth in the high-margin Song and Industry X divisions.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis

§3 Финансовая история

Отчёт о прибылях — последние шесть периодов
СтатьяT−0T−1T−2T−3CAGR
Период2022-08-312023-08-312024-08-312025-08-31Trend
Выручка$61.59B$64.11B$64.90B$69.67B+4.2%
Валовая прибыль$19.70B$20.73B$21.16B$22.24B+4.1%
Операционная прибыль$9.37B$9.87B$10.03B$10.84B+5.0%
Чистая прибыль$6.88B$6.87B$7.26B$7.68B+3.7%
EPS (разводнённая)$10.71$10.77$11.44$12.15+4.3%
EBITDA$10.27B$10.25B$10.84B$11.87B+4.9%
R&D
SG&A$10.33B$10.86B$11.13B$11.39B+3.3%

Баллы качества

F-балл Пиотроски
5 / 9
Сводный балл качества 0–9
Z-балл Альтмана
4.4
Риск банкротства (>3 безопасно)
M-балл Бениша
-2.75
Риск манипуляций с прибылью
OCF / Чистая прибыль
1.49×
>1 указывает на высокое качество прибыли
Фильтр качества учёта
Pass
Фильтр с учётом сектора
ROIC
21.1%
Доходность инвестированного капитала
Раздел 3

Numbers analysis

Распределение капитала

Capital allocation should be evaluated against reinvestment needs, balance-sheet strength, and shareholder returns.

Индивидуальные подписчики — с §4ещё 11 разделов

Прочитайте полный анализ — ещё 11 разделов.

Competitive moat, industry cycle, peer comparison, intrinsic valuation, sensitivity, scenarios, earnings decision tree, position management, investor perspectives, scorecard, and final recommendation.

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FAQ

ACN — frequently asked questions

  1. Based on our latest analysis, ACN looks meaningfully undervalued. The current price is $180 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $223 (range $186–$261), which implies roughly 23.9% upside to the midpoint.
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