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FITB trades against a final fair-value range of $32.07-$68.93, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $32.1, high $68.9, with mid-point at $51.2.
Stock analysis

FITB fair value $32–$69

By StockMarketAgent.AI team· supervised by
Analiz edildi: 2026-05-20Sonraki güncelleme: 2026-08-20Methodology v2.4Data cut-off: Quality gate: passSources: all material sources passed deterministic freshness/provenance gatesReview: automatedArchetype: Financial
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Fiyat
$47.60
▲ +3.57 (+7.50%)
Gerçeğe uygun değer
$51
$32–$69
Tavsiye
Tut
confidence 88/100
Yükseliş potansiyeli
+7.5%
upside to fair value
Güvenlik Marjı
$43.49
MoS level · 15%
Piyasa Değeri
$43.1B
P/E fwd 9.7
İngilizce yedekTR
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§1 Yönetici özeti

  • Composite fair value $51 with high case $69.
  • Implied upside of 7.5% to fair value.
  • Moat 6.5/10 · confidence 88/100 · Financial.
  • Trades at a measured discount to fair value with adequate margin of safety.
Fair value
$51
Margin of safety
+7.0%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
6.5/10

Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.

$47.60Price
Low $32.07
Mid $51.17
High $68.93

FITB trades against a final fair-value range of $32.07-$68.93, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

  • Stable regional banking footprint
    Stable regional banking footprint
  • Consistent core deposit base
    Consistent core deposit base
  • Bull thesis
    Long-term value relies entirely on residual income generation rather than aggressive multiple expansion.

§2 Olumsuz senaryo

A severe commercial real estate downturn combined with deposit flight tests liquidity. Fifth Third's reliance on net interest margin would suffer, potentially cutting intrinsic valueIntrinsic valueThe discounted present value of all cash a business will produce over its remaining life. The theoretical anchor for fair value, computed in practice as a range across explicit assumptions. to the low $30s.

Bu tezin bozulabileceği yollar

Severe Credit Cycle Downturn

25%· Medium

Commercial real estate exposure causes elevated charge-offs, crushing ROE and forcing multiple contraction toward 9x P/E.

FV impact
-30%
Trigger
12-18 months

Runaway Deposit Costs

20%· Medium

Persistent rate volatility forces aggressive deposit repricing, structurally compressing net interest margins below historical averages.

FV impact
-20%
Trigger
6-12 months

Regulatory Capital Squeeze

15%· Low

Higher capital requirements restrict dividend payouts and buybacks, negating the conservative DDM valuation floor.

FV impact
-15%
Trigger
18-24 months
İzlenecek erken uyarı sinyalleri
MetrikMevcutTetikleme eşiği
Net interest margin drops below 2.5%MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Non-performing loans exceed 1.5% of total loansMonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Deposit outflows accelerate above 5% QoQMonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Payout ratio exceeds the 75% thresholdMonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Dividend yield falls below 2%MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis

§3 Mali geçmiş

Gelir tablosu — son altı dönem

Kalem2021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-312025-12-31Trend
Gelir$7.51B$8.10B+7.9%$8.43B+4.1%$8.27B-1.9%$8.82B+6.7%+4.1%
Brüt kâr
Faaliyet kârı
Net kâr$2.77B$2.45B-11.6%$2.35B-4.1%$2.31B-1.7%$2.52B+9.1%-2.3%
EPS (sulandırılmış)$3.35$3.22$3.14$3.53+1.3%
EBITDA
R&D
SG&A$2.98B$2.97B$3.34B$3.19B$3.22B+1.9%

Kalite puanları

OCF / Net kâr
1.79×
>1 yüksek kazanç kalitesini gösterir
Muhasebe kalitesi kapısı
Pass
Sektöre göre ayarlanmış kapı
ROIC
Yatırılan sermaye getirisi
Bireysel aboneler — §4 ve sonrası11 bölüm daha

Tam analizi okuyun — 11 bölüm daha.

Competitive moat, industry cycle, peer comparison, intrinsic valuation, sensitivity, scenarios, earnings decision tree, position management, investor perspectives, scorecard, and final recommendation.

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FAQ

FITB — frequently asked questions

  1. Based on our latest analysis, FITB looks modestly undervalued. The current price is $47.6 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $51.2 (range $32.1–$68.9), which implies roughly 7.5% upside to the midpoint.
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