Buy. NextEra Energy's scale and structural tailwinds justify a premium valuation, offering predictable compounding despite capital cycle headwinds.
Bull: Accelerating demand for clean power from data centers and broad electrification drives stronger-than-expected growth in NEER. Falling interest rates alleviate financing costs, expanding valuation multiples and accelerating the realization of extended moat advantages.
Sustained Capital Cost Spike: Prolonged elevated interest rates destroy project economics for NEER, grinding the renewable development pipeline to a halt and forcing a dividend cut.
Buy. NEE offers a rare combination of highly visible regulated utility cash flows and secular growth from renewable energy leadership, offsetting near-term capital intensity penalties.
Position sizing playbook →| Market cap | $194.1B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 27.9B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 8.2B | |
| EPS (ttm) | $3.94 | |
| Shares out | 2.1B | |
| P/E (trailing) | 23.6x | |
| P/E (forward) | 21.2x | |
| Dividend | $2.49 (2.68%) | |
| Volume | 6,230,062 | |
| Beta | 0.72 | |
| Price target | $96.9 | +4.1% |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $20.96B | $28.11B | $24.75B | $27.41B | +9.4% |
| Gross profit | $10.14B | $17.98B | $14.87B | $17.07B | +19.0% |
| Operating income | $3.56B | $9.83B | $7.13B | $8.02B | +31.1% |
| Net income | $4.15B | $7.31B | $6.95B | $6.84B | +18.1% |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.09 | $3.60 | $3.37 | $3.28 | +16.3% |
| EBITDA | $9.21B | $16.76B | $14.03B | $16.04B | +20.3% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | — | — | — | — | — |
| Model | Fair value (mid) | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Multi stage moat fade | $154 | 20% |
| Discounted earnings | $121 | 15% |
| Forward earnings | $87.85 | 20% |
| Owner earnings | $112 | 15% |
| FCFF DCF | $38.45 | 10% |
| Peg adjusted peer | $93.41 | 10% |
| Ddm | $72.42 | 10% |
| Reverse DCF | $0.00 | 0% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
Accelerating demand for clean power from data centers and broad electrification drives stronger-than-expected growth in NEER. Falling interest rates alleviate financing costs, expanding valuation multiples and accelerating the realization of extended moat advantages.
NEE successfully balances heavy capital cycle demands with steady rate base growth at FPL and continued leadership in NEER. The company compounds earnings reliably, justifying a premium multiple over pure-play regulated utilities while managing debt service costs.
A higher-for-longer interest rate environment sharply increases debt servicing costs, crushing FCFF. Potential regulatory pushback in Florida and supply chain bottlenecks for solar/wind equipment stall NEER's growth, compressing returns and forcing a multiple derating.
| Model | Weight | FV / share | vs spot | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multi stage moat fade | 20% | $154 | +65.1% | |
| Discounted earnings | 15% | $121 | +30.1% | |
| Forward earnings | 20% | $87.8 | -5.6% | |
| Owner earnings | 15% | $112 | +20.8% | |
| FCFF DCF | 10% | $38.5 | -58.7% | |
| Peg adjusted peer | 10% | $93.4 | +0.3% | |
| Ddm | 10% | $72.4 | -22.2% | |
| Reverse DCF | 0% | $0.00 | -100.0% | |
| Composite FV (weighted) | 100% | $104 | +11.5% |
| Ke ↓ / g → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.3% | $142 | $173 | $182 | $182 | $182 |
| 5.3% | $104 | $120 | $142 | $173 | $182 |
| 6.3% | $81.9 | $91.6 | $104 | $120 | $142 |
| 7.3% | $67.7 | $74.1 | $81.9 | $91.6 | $104 |
| 8.3% | $57.7 | $62.3 | $67.7 | $74.1 | $81.9 |
| Category | Weight | Score | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | 11% | 5.0 | |
| Management | 11% | 6.9 | |
| Balance Sheet | 11% | 1.5 | |
| Profitability | 11% | 6.5 | |
| Revenue Growth | 11% | 6.0 | |
| Risk Assessment | 11% | 5.5 | |
| Competitive Moat | 11% | 9.0 | |
| Earnings Quality | 11% | 9.0 | |
| Capital Efficiency | 11% | 4.0 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.