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ACN trades against a final fair-value range of $186.15-$261.24, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $186, high $261, with mid-point at $223.
Stock analysis

ACN Accenture plc fair value $223–$261

ACN
By StockMarketAgent.AI team· supervised by
已分析: 2026-05-10下次更新: 2026-08-10Methodology v2.4Archetype: Mature dividendNYSE · Information Technology
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股价
$180.42
▲ +43.03 (+23.85%)
公允价值
$223
$223–$261
评级
买入
confidence 88/100
上行空间
+23.9%
upside to fair value
安全边际
$189.93
buy below · 15%
市值
$111.0B
P/E fwd 12.1
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§1 执行摘要

  • Composite fair value $223 with high case $261.
  • Implied upside of 23.9% to fair value.
  • Moat 9/10 · confidence 88/100 · Mature dividend.
  • Trades below fair value with a meaningful cushion to the midpoint.
Fair value
$223
Margin of safety
+19.3%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10

Educational analysis only — not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.

$180.42Price
FV $223.45
High $261.24

ACN trades against a final fair-value range of $186.15-$261.24, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

  • High switching costs associated with
    High switching costs associated with deeply integrated enterprise IT and ERP systems.
  • Intangible assets derived from specialized
    Intangible assets derived from specialized industry expertise and a massive global delivery network.
  • Bull thesis
    The market is over-penalizing near-term macro headwinds, ignoring Accenture's deep structural integration into critical enterprise workflows.

§2 看空情景

A severe macroeconomic downturn triggers sweeping IT budget freezes, stalling cloud migrations and AI projects. Revenue contracts while high fixed labor costs compress operating margins below historical norms, dragging fair valueFair valueOur composite estimate of intrinsic per-share value, blended across DCF, exit-multiple, and reverse-DCF methods. Reported as a low/mid/high range to capture model uncertainty. down to the $186 floor.

该论点可能失败的方式

AI Displacement

· Medium

Agentic AI systems automate core coding and BPO tasks, collapsing Accenture's billable hour model and shrinking total addressable market.

FV impact
-25%
Trigger
3-5 years

Cloud Maturation

· High

Enterprise cloud migrations conclude sooner than expected, leaving a massive structural growth void unfulfilled by new AI initiatives.

FV impact
-15%
Trigger
2-3 years

Margin Collapse

· Low

Intense wage inflation and talent retention costs in global delivery centers severely compress historical operating margins.

FV impact
-20%
Trigger
1-2 years
需关注的早期预警信号
指标当前触发阈值
Sequential declines in book-to-bill ratios consistently below 1.0x.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Unplanned, structural increases in bench time and utilization rate drops.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Deteriorating pricing power on large-scale managed services outsourcing contracts.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Rising voluntary attrition rates among key senior technical staff.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Slowing growth in the high-margin Song and Industry X divisions.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis

§3 财务历史

损益表 — 最近六期
项目T−0T−1T−2T−3CAGR
期间2022-08-312023-08-312024-08-312025-08-31Trend
营业收入$61.59B$64.11B$64.90B$69.67B+4.2%
毛利$19.70B$20.73B$21.16B$22.24B+4.1%
营业利润$9.37B$9.87B$10.03B$10.84B+5.0%
净利润$6.88B$6.87B$7.26B$7.68B+3.7%
每股收益(摊薄)$10.71$10.77$11.44$12.15+4.3%
EBITDA$10.27B$10.25B$10.84B$11.87B+4.9%
研发
销售管理费用$10.33B$10.86B$11.13B$11.39B+3.3%

质量评分

Piotroski F 评分
5 / 9
0–9 质量综合
Altman Z 评分
4.4
破产风险 (>3 安全)
Beneish M 评分
-2.75
盈利操纵风险
OCF / 净利润
1.49×
>1 表示盈利质量高
会计质量门槛
Pass
经行业调整门槛
ROIC
21.1%
投入资本回报率
第 3 节

Numbers analysis

个人订阅用户 — §4 及之后还有 11 个章节

阅读完整分析 — 还有 11 个章节。

Competitive moat, industry cycle, peer comparison, intrinsic valuation, sensitivity, scenarios, earnings decision tree, position management, investor perspectives, scorecard, and final recommendation.

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FAQ

ACN — frequently asked questions

  1. Based on our latest analysis, ACN looks meaningfully undervalued. The current price is $180 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $223 (range $186–$261), which implies roughly 23.9% upside to the midpoint.
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