Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.
NET trades against a final fair-value range of $52.77-$105.88, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.
In a sustained high-rate or risk-off environment, Cloudflare's deeply negative GAAP earnings and extreme reliance on top-line multiples make it uniquely vulnerable to duration-driven multiple compression, effectively stripping away its current scarcity premium.
Major hyperscalers bundle edge compute and network security, destroying pricing power and permanently capping structural operating margins below 20%.
Heavy infrastructure investments in Workers AI fail to achieve required return hurdles, leading to perpetual free cash flow burn and dilutive equity raises.
The market loses patience with structurally high stock-based compensation (~20% of revenue), rerating the terminal multiple to 4x EV/Rev from our 8x anchor.
| Post | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omzet | $975.2M | $1.30B+33.3% | $1.67B+28.5% | $2.17B+29.9% | +30.5% |
| Brutowinst | $742.6M | $989.7M | $1.29B | $1.62B | +29.6% |
| Bedrijfsresultaat | $-201.2M | $-185.5M | $-154.8M | $-207.2M | — |
| Nettowinst | $-193.4M | $-183.9M | $-78.8M | $-102.3M | — |
| WPA (verwaterd) | $-0.59 | $-0.55 | $-0.23 | $-0.29 | — |
| EBITDA | $-83.4M | $-36.2M | $62.0M | $105.8M | — |
| R&D | $298.3M | $358.1M | $421.4M | $512.5M | +19.8% |
| VAA | $645.5M | $817.1M | $1.02B | $1.31B | +26.6% |
Cash-flow quality is reflected in the OCFOperating cash flowCash generated from the company's core operations after working-capital changes but before capital expenditures. The first line of the cash-flow statement. / net incomeNet IncomeNet Income is an income-statement line item used to reconcile revenue to operating profit, pre-tax income, net income, or per-share earnings. It should be compared across periods and against peer disclosure conventions., accounting-quality, and ROICROICReturn on invested capital. Operating profit (after tax) divided by invested capital. The single best gauge of capital-efficiency. Spread over WACC = economic value created. rows above.
Capital allocation should be evaluated against reinvestment needs, balance-sheet strength, and shareholder returns.
