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Vulcan Materials Company's published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $31.5B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 8.1B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 1.1B | |
| EPS (ttm) | $8.48 | |
| Shares out | 129.6M | |
| P/E (trailing) | 31.3x | |
| P/E (forward) | 22.4x | |
| Dividend | $2.08 (0.78%) | |
| Volume | 1,028,076 | |
| Beta | 1.05 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $5.55B | $7.32B | $7.78B | $7.42B | $7.94B | +9.4% |
| Gross profit | $1.37B | $1.56B | $1.95B | $2.00B | $2.17B | +12.2% |
| Operating income | $1.01B | $951.4M | $1.43B | $1.36B | $1.62B | +12.5% |
| Net income | $670.8M | $575.6M | $933.2M | $911.9M | $1.08B | +12.6% |
| EPS (diluted) | $5.02 | $4.31 | $6.98 | $6.85 | $8.11 | +12.7% |
| EBITDA | $1.47B | $1.53B | $2.04B | $1.98B | $2.57B | +14.9% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $417.6M | $515.1M | $542.8M | $531.1M | $564.1M | +7.8% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
Under the base case, Vulcan achieves a target valuation of $164.46, representing a return of -32.3% from $243.06. This outcome carries an estimated probability of 60.0%. In this scenario, public infrastructure spending provides a steady demand foundation across the East and West divisions, while compounding aggregates unit pricing offsets moderate volume headwinds in private residential construction. Operating margins remain stable, supporting consistent free cash flow conversion. This path would be disconfirmed if private construction contractions accelerate without offsetting public highway volume, which investors would observe through sequential volume declines in quarterly releases.
Under the bull case, Vulcan achieves Potential value of $200.88 with a target of $200.88, offering a return of -17.4% against $243.06, with a probability of 20.0%. This pathway requires a sharp acceleration in federal infrastructure disbursements combined with substantial private non-residential investment across data centers and industrial facilities. High operating leverage on crushing plants and transport fleets expands operating margins beyond baseline expectations, generating substantial free cash flow that fuels aggressive share repurchases. Disconfirmation would occur if state transportation letting backlogs fail to convert into physical shipments over the coming fiscal years.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7% | $174 | $176 | $179 | $181 | $185 |
| 9.2% | $167 | $169 | $171 | $173 | $176 |
| 9.7% | $161 | $163 | $164 | $166 | $169 |
| 10.2% | $156 | $157 | $159 | $160 | $162 |
| 10.7% | $151 | $152 | $153 | $155 | $156 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
The rating each month's published research edition carried. A rating compares the price at analysis with the Fair value; it is not a record of whether the call was right.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
