- SELL rating driven by a -27.27% downside to the $116.73 fair value midpoint.
- Market pricing ignores a 35% probability of a prolonged down-cycle or severe capital cycle compression.
- Valuation explicitly anchored by a 15x mid-cycle terminal multiple and 2% terminal growth.
- Robust Piotroski F-Score (5) confirms baseline data integrity, but peak cyclical margins heavily skew current market prices.
Fair value
$117
Margin of safety
-37.5%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
6.5/10
Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.