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American Airlines Group Inc.'s published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $7.8B |
|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 61B |
|---|
| Net income (ttm) | -481M |
|---|
| EPS (ttm) | -$0.73 |
|---|
| Shares out | 662.6M |
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| P/E (forward) | 5.3x |
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| Volume | 63,293,273 |
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| Beta | 1.38 |
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Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $29.88B | $48.97B | $52.79B | $54.21B | $54.63B | +16.3% |
| Gross profit | $27.0M | $9.04B | $11.81B | $11.47B | $10.47B | +343.8% |
| Operating income | $-1.06B | $1.61B | $3.03B | $2.61B | $1.47B | — |
| Net income | $-1.99B | $127.0M | $822.0M | $846.0M | $111.0M | — |
| EPS (diluted) | $-3.09 | $0.19 | $1.21 | $1.24 | $0.17 | — |
| EBITDA | $1.59B | $4.13B | $5.20B | $5.01B | $3.88B | +25.1% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $1.10B | $1.82B | $1.80B | $1.81B | $2.00B | +16.1% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
The base case assumes cyclical recovery in operating performance as fleet modernization improves fuel efficiency and premium revenue capture. Revenue reaches $63.35B in FY2026 and $66.68B in FY2027, with diluted EPS rebounding to $1.41 in FY2027. Operating margins expand to 4.5% in FY2027, yielding our intrinsic fair value midpoint of $12.96.
In the bull case, American successfully scales its premium cabin offerings across new Boeing 787-9 and Airbus A321XLR aircraft, while managed corporate travel expands beyond recent 26% growth rates. Concurrently, jet fuel prices soften, allowing the airline to expand operating margins toward 5.8% and accelerate debt paydown, driving multiple re-rating toward legacy peer averages.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.7% | $13.8 | $13.9 | $14.1 | $14.3 | $14.6 |
| 10.2% | $13.2 | $13.3 | $13.5 | $13.7 | $13.9 |
| 10.7% | $12.7 | $12.8 | $13.0 | $13.1 | $13.3 |
| 11.2% | $12.2 | $12.3 | $12.5 | $12.6 | $12.7 |
| 11.7% | $11.8 | $11.9 | $12.0 | $12.1 | $12.2 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
The rating each month's published research edition carried. A rating compares the price at analysis with the Fair value; it is not a record of whether the call was right.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
