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Ball Corporation's published Buy conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $15.8B |
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| Revenue (ttm) | 14.3B |
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| Net income (ttm) | 947M |
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| EPS (ttm) | $3.51 |
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| Shares out | 264.7M |
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| P/E (trailing) | 18.0x |
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| P/E (forward) | 13.2x |
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| Dividend | $0.80 (1.28%) |
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| Volume | 1,723,894 |
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| Beta | 0.96 |
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Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $13.93B | $15.35B | $14.03B | $11.80B | $13.16B | -1.4% |
| Gross profit | $2.03B | $453.0M | $487.0M | $480.0M | $1.96B | -0.9% |
| Operating income | $1.29B | $1.21B | $1.27B | $839.0M | $1.47B | +3.3% |
| Net income | $878.0M | $719.0M | $707.0M | $4.01B | $912.0M | +1.0% |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.65 | $2.25 | $2.23 | $13.00 | $3.30 | +5.6% |
| EBITDA | $1.98B | $1.88B | $1.96B | $1.46B | $2.09B | +1.4% |
| R&D | $56.0M | $55.0M | $55.0M | — | — | -0.9% |
| SG&A | $593.0M | $555.0M | $532.0M | $647.0M | $566.0M | -1.2% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
The base case represents our modal expected path, underpinned by stable volume growth across core beverage packaging segments tracking management guidance corridors. Facility start-up expenses concentrate in the current fiscal year before running off as new manufacturing lines achieve normalized commercial throughput. Contractual metal pass-through clauses protect operating margins, while free cash flow supports targeted capital returns, yielding a Base target of $66.71 (Fair value $66.71) with an implied return of 12.5% from $59.32.
The bull case envisions accelerating global substrate substitution from single-use plastics to infinitely recyclable aluminum cans, expanding addressable packaging volumes above long-term historical corridors. Strong demand in energy drinks and craft beverages drives favorable specialty container mix, lifting operating profitability toward upper historical boundaries. Seamless commercialization of new manufacturing capacity eliminates start-up friction, expanding free cash flow and funding accelerated share repurchases that drive the shares toward $73.85 (Potential value $73.85), representing 24.5% upside from $59.32.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4% | $68.7 | $70.9 | $73.5 | $76.5 | $80.2 |
| 8.9% | $65.8 | $67.7 | $69.9 | $72.4 | $75.4 |
| 9.4% | $63.3 | $64.9 | $66.7 | $68.8 | $71.3 |
| 9.9% | $61.0 | $62.4 | $64.0 | $65.7 | $67.8 |
| 10.4% | $58.9 | $60.1 | $61.5 | $63.0 | $64.8 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
The rating each month's published research edition carried. A rating compares the price at analysis with the Fair value; it is not a record of whether the call was right.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
