The Walt Disney Company (DIS)
NYSE: DIS · Real-Time Price · USD
$108
-0.64 (-0.6%)· Live
StockMarketAgent Research
Our analysis: DIS rated Hold
Hold. The current valuation fairly reflects the balance between long-term IP durability and near-term transition costs.
Fair value (mid)
$114 / share
$91.8 – $137
Upside to FV
+5.0%
from $108
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10
Biggest opportunity
Bull: Streaming achieves sustained double-digit operating margins faster than anticipated, Parks continue high-ROIC expansion with strong per-capita yields, and the theatrical slate regains peak box office dominance.
Biggest risk
Linear Collapse
Linear Collapse: Cord-cutting accelerates significantly faster than DTC profit replacement, permanently destroying enterprise margin.
Recommended action
Hold
Hold. Current price of $108.66 offers limited upside to the $114.11 composite fair value.
Position sizing playbook →| Market cap | $188.7B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 97.3B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 11.2B | |
| EPS (ttm) | $6.26 | |
| Shares out | 1.7B | |
| P/E (trailing) | 17.3x | |
| P/E (forward) | 14.6x | |
| Dividend | $1.50 (1.39%) | |
| Volume | 8,369,970 | |
| Beta | 1.42 | |
| Price target | $134 | +23.6% |
Market data
Price
Recent price action with selectable time range.
The Walt Disney CompanyDIS
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Financial snapshot
- Revenue (ttm)
- 97.3B
- Net income (ttm)
- 11.2B
- EPS (ttm)
- $6.26
- P/E (trailing)
- 17.3x
- P/E (forward)
- 14.6x
- Market cap
- $188.7B
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2022-09-30 | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | 2025-09-30 | Trend |
| Revenue | $82.72B | $88.90B | $91.36B | $94.43B | +4.5% |
| Gross profit | $28.32B | $29.70B | $32.66B | $35.66B | +8.0% |
| Operating income | $6.77B | $8.99B | $11.91B | $13.83B | +26.9% |
| Net income | $3.15B | $2.35B | $4.97B | $12.40B | +58.0% |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.72 | $1.29 | $2.72 | $6.85 | +58.5% |
| EBITDA | $12.00B | $12.11B | $14.63B | $19.14B | +16.9% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $16.39B | $15.34B | $15.76B | $16.50B | +0.2% |
Fair-value bridge
- Fair value (low)
- $91.8
- Fair value (mid)
- $114
- Fair value (high)
- $137
- Current price
- $108
- Upside to mid
- +5.0%
Valuation models
| Model | Fair value (mid) | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Multi stage moat fade | $110 | 35% |
| Discounted earnings | $110 | 25% |
| Forward earnings | $97.86 | 20% |
| FCFF DCF | $105 | 15% |
| Owner earnings | $258 | 5% |
| Reverse DCF | $0.00 | 0% |
| Peg adjusted peer | $8.05 | 0% |
Analyst consensus
Recommendation
Strong Buy
Price target
$134
+23.6%
In the news
Latest news · DIS
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $188.7B
- P/E (trailing)
- 17.3x
- P/E (forward)
- 14.6x
- P/S
- 1.9x
- P/B
- 1.7x
- PEG
- 4.58
- EV / EBITDA
- 11.6x
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 37.2%
- Operating margin
- 14.7%
- ROE
- 11.0%
- ROA
- 4.4%
- ROIC
- 9.2%
Balance sheet
- Debt / equity
- 0.41
- Current ratio
- 0.68
- Quick ratio
- 0.55
Trading
- Beta
- 1.42
- Volume
- 8,369,970
- Dividend yield
- 1.4%
Scenarios & expected return
Probability-weighted: +5.0% expected return to fair value
Bull20%
Price target
$136.53
+25.6% from spot
Streaming achieves sustained double-digit operating margins faster than anticipated, Parks continue high-ROIC expansion with strong per-capita yields, and the theatrical slate regains peak box office dominance.
- Streaming achieves sustained double-digit margins.
- Parks continue high-ROIC expansion.
Base60%
Price target
$114.11
+5.0% from spot
Disney successfully navigates the transition from linear television to streaming, heavily anchored by its high-margin Parks segment. The unmatched IP portfolio secures a durable moat despite transition costs.
- DTC breaks even and grows margins slowly.
- Linear decay is offset by Parks stability.
Bear20%
Price target
$91.84
-15.5% from spot
Accelerated cord-cutting outpaces streaming profit gains, while macroeconomic weakness pressures theme park attendance and per-capita spending, leading to compressed enterprise margins and stagnant FCF.
- Accelerated linear decay.
- Macro pressure on Parks.
Valuation models & bridge
Each model produces an independent fair value. Weighted average = $114.
| Model | Weight | FV / share | vs spot | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multi stage moat fade | 35% | $110 | +1.9% | |
| Discounted earnings | 25% | $110 | +1.6% | |
| Forward earnings | 20% | $97.9 | -9.4% | |
| FCFF DCF | 15% | $105 | -2.9% | |
| Owner earnings | 5% | $258 | +138.5% | |
| Reverse DCF | 0% | $0.00 | -100.0% | |
| Peg adjusted peer | 0% | $8.05 | -92.5% | |
| Composite FV (weighted) | 100% | $114 | +5.0% |
Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3% | $135 | $149 | $167 | $188 | $200 |
| 8.3% | $114 | $124 | $135 | $149 | $167 |
| 9.3% | $98.6 | $106 | $114 | $124 | $135 |
| 10.3% | $86.8 | $92.3 | $98.6 | $106 | $114 |
| 11.3% | $77.5 | $81.8 | $86.8 | $92.3 | $98.6 |
Scorecard
Factor radar (left) · 9-category weighted composite (right)
Valuation5.0
Management5.7
Balance Sheet4.0
Profitability5.5
Revenue Growth6.0
Risk Assessment5.0
Competitive Moat9.0
Earnings Quality6.0
Capital Efficiency5.0
Weighted composite
5.7/10
Mixed| Category | Weight | Score | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | 11% | 5.0 | |
| Management | 11% | 5.7 | |
| Balance Sheet | 11% | 4.0 | |
| Profitability | 11% | 5.5 | |
| Revenue Growth | 11% | 6.0 | |
| Risk Assessment | 11% | 5.0 | |
| Competitive Moat | 11% | 9.0 | |
| Earnings Quality | 11% | 6.0 | |
| Capital Efficiency | 11% | 5.0 |
Position sizing & entry playbook
Pre-committed rules, followed irrespective of news flow.
Conviction tier
High
Confidence 88/100
Target weight
Market weight.
of equity sleeve
Current / pullbacks
$108
Thesis break
Risk to thesis
- Trim exposure above $135.
Calendar
Next earnings
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
Upcoming
DateLoading
Window—
EPS estimate—
Revenue estimate—
Sector percentile context
Refreshed 2026-05-10 22:07 UTC
Forward P/E14.6
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
Trailing P/E0
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
ROE11
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
ROIC9.2
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
Benchmarks · 1M
S&P 500n/a
Nasdaq Compositen/a
Dow Jones Industrial Averagen/a
Russell 2000n/a
All DIS indicators
Market & fundamental data
Available fields
282
Groups with data
11
Currency
USD
Showing 282 of 282 available metrics for this ticker.
Deeper analysis on DIS
14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need
Forecast
Bull, base, and bear cases with expected-return framing.
Valuation
Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.
Sensitivity
Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.
Risks
Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.
Earnings
Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.
Position sizing
Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.
Financials
Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.
Peers
Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.
Moat
Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.
Industry cycle
Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.
Scorecard
Six-factor overlay and 9-category weighted scorecard.
Recommendation
Final action, action steps, opportunity, and biggest risk.
Perspectives
Growth, value, and income investor reads.
Archive
Prior monthly reports and rating changes.
Frequently asked questions
About this DIS report
What is the current DIS stock rating?
The Walt Disney Company is currently shown with Hold in the latest report. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.
Where can I read the full DIS analysis?
The full report lives at /stocks/DIS/analysis. The bare ticker page is a product hub that summarizes the latest read and sends readers into the relocated analysis tabs without making the analysis surface depend on the hub.
What fair-value range is used for DIS?
The latest report frames DIS around $92 to $137. Treat that range as the entry point, then check the valuation, sensitivity, and bear-case tabs before making an investment decision.
How often is the DIS page updated?
The hub updates with the latest published stock report and live backend market data. The analysis pages remain reachable under /analysis, so a hub rollback does not remove the report reader.
HoldDIS · Fair value $114+5.0% · Confidence 88/100