- We initiate GM with a Sell rating and a $51.82 fair value.
- The market focuses on EPS while ignoring severe negative FCFF (-$4.18B) from the EV transition.
- A 43% weight on Owner Earnings enforces a structural penalty for high CapEx-to-D&A (1.48x).
- We see 34% downside to current prices as the capital cycle overwhelms near-term earnings.
Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.