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The Kroger Co.'s published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $34.9B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 149.3B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 1.1B | |
| EPS (ttm) | $1.72 | |
| Shares out | 590.6M | |
| P/E (trailing) | 37.8x | |
| P/E (forward) | 11.3x | |
| Dividend | $1.56 (2.40%) | |
| Volume | 3,041,775 | |
| Beta | 0.35 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2022-01-29 | 2023-01-28 | 2024-02-03 | 2025-02-01 | 2026-01-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $137.89B | $148.26B | $150.04B | $147.12B | $147.64B | +1.7% |
| Gross profit | $30.35B | $31.78B | $33.36B | $33.40B | $34.40B | +3.2% |
| Operating income | $3.48B | $4.13B | $3.10B | $3.85B | $1.89B | -14.1% |
| Net income | $1.66B | $2.24B | $2.16B | $2.67B | $1.02B | -11.5% |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.17 | $3.06 | $2.96 | $3.67 | $1.54 | -8.2% |
| EBITDA | $6.05B | $7.02B | $7.03B | $7.64B | $5.76B | -1.2% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $845.0M | $839.0M | $891.0M | $877.0M | $872.0M | +0.8% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
Under the Base scenario, Kroger maintains its defensive market positioning as a dependable grocery provider. Stable consumer demand for core non-perishable grocery staples anchors top-line volume, while continuous sourcing cost reductions and digital retail media growth defend operating margins against retail wage and logistics inflation. Supported by strong free cash flow conversion, Kroger executes steady share repurchases that compound per-share earnings. With an assessed probability of 55.0%, this scenario yields a target value of $63.59, delivering an implied return of 7.7% relative to $59.03 and aligning with Fair value $63.59.
In the Bull scenario, high-margin alternative profit streams scale rapidly, transforming Kroger's margin profile beyond conventional grocery retail limits. Digital retail media advertising contribution expands faster than projected, while Our Brands private label items capture increased market share among price-conscious consumers, driving meaningful FIFO gross margin expansion. Omnichannel delivery initiatives enhance customer loyalty and basket size, accelerating top-line growth. With an assessed probability of 20.0%, this scenario generates a target valuation of $103.69, offering an implied return of 75.7% from $59.03 and approaching Potential value $103.69.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | $70.7 | $73.4 | $76.4 | $79.8 | $83.8 |
| 6.4% | $64.8 | $67.0 | $69.3 | $72.0 | $75.0 |
| 6.9% | $59.9 | $61.7 | $63.6 | $65.7 | $68.0 |
| 7.4% | $55.8 | $57.3 | $58.8 | $60.5 | $62.4 |
| 7.9% | $52.3 | $53.5 | $54.8 | $56.2 | $57.7 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
The rating each month's published research edition carried. A rating compares the price at analysis with the Fair value; it is not a record of whether the call was right.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |