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LyondellBasell Industries N.V.'s published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $19.4B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 31.2B | |
| Net income (ttm) | -359M | |
| EPS (ttm) | -$1.12 | |
| Shares out | 323M | |
| P/E (forward) | 9.1x | |
| Dividend | $2.76 (4.11%) | |
| Volume | 2,092,697 | |
| Beta | 0.35 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $46.17B | $50.45B | $33.34B | $33.39B | $30.15B | -10.1% |
| Gross profit | $8.78B | $6.60B | $5.26B | $4.56B | $2.72B | -25.4% |
| Operating income | $6.77B | $5.10B | $2.73B | $1.92B | $-420.0M | — |
| Net income | $5.61B | $3.88B | $2.11B | $1.36B | $-743.0M | — |
| EPS (diluted) | $16.75 | $11.81 | $6.46 | $4.15 | $-2.34 | — |
| EBITDA | $8.70B | $6.33B | $4.64B | $3.61B | $1.19B | -39.2% |
| R&D | $124.0M | $124.0M | $130.0M | $135.0M | $136.0M | +2.3% |
| SG&A | $1.26B | $1.31B | $1.54B | $1.64B | $1.61B | +6.4% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
In the Base scenario, LyondellBasell benefits from low-cost US Gulf Coast ethane cracking advantages running at high utilization while Middle East supply outages support polyethylene pricing through next year. European asset divestitures reduce sustaining capital expenditures and operating costs, enabling operating margins to rebound before normalizing toward mid-cycle averages. This path projects a target value of $65.40 with an estimated probability of 55.0%, offering an implied return of 8.9% relative to $60.03 (as of 2026-10-09). Disconfirmation would occur if cracker operating rates fall significantly or if regional capacity restarts ahead of schedule.
In the Bull scenario, Middle East supply dislocations persist well past next year, sustaining global polymer tightness and widening polyethylene contract spreads. North American steam crackers maintain peak utilization, while disciplined capital spending and accelerated portfolio rationalization expand free cash flow, allowing rapid balance sheet deleveraging. This path yields a target of $102.56 with an assigned probability of 20.0%, representing an implied return of 70.8% versus $60.03 (as of 2026-10-09). Disconfirmation would emerge if global industrial demand contracts or if international peers resume full export parity.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | $70.3 | $71.4 | $72.7 | $74.2 | $75.7 |
| 8.7% | $66.8 | $67.7 | $68.8 | $70.0 | $71.3 |
| 9.2% | $63.7 | $64.5 | $65.4 | $66.4 | $67.4 |
| 9.7% | $60.9 | $61.6 | $62.4 | $63.2 | $64.1 |
| 10.2% | $58.4 | $59.0 | $59.7 | $60.4 | $61.2 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
The rating each month's published research edition carried. A rating compares the price at analysis with the Fair value; it is not a record of whether the call was right.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
