Moody's Corporation (MCO)

NYSE: MCO · USD

$476

+2.18 (+0.5%)· Recorded snapshot

StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-03

Our latest published analysis: MCO rated Sell

Moody's Corporation's published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$327 / share

Potential value

$400 / share

Upside to FV

-25.8%

from $476

Moat

9.2/10

Wide

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$76.4B
Revenue (ttm)	8.2B
Net income (ttm)	2.9B
EPS (ttm)	$16.4
Shares out	172.4M
P/E (trailing)	29.1x
P/E (forward)	24.3x
Dividend	$4.12 (0.87%)
Volume	546,318
Beta	1.35

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 8.2B
Net income (ttm): 2.9B
EPS (ttm): $16.4
P/E (trailing): 29.1x
P/E (forward): 24.3x
Market cap: $76.4B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$6.22B	$5.47B	$5.92B	$7.09B	$7.72B	+5.6%
Gross profit	$4.32B	$3.52B	$3.85B	$4.71B	$5.26B	+5.0%
Operating income	$2.84B	$1.88B	$2.14B	$2.88B	$3.35B	+4.2%
Net income	$2.21B	$1.37B	$1.61B	$2.06B	$2.46B	+2.7%
EPS (diluted)	$11.78	$7.44	$8.73	$11.26	$13.67	+3.8%
EBITDA	$3.26B	$2.31B	$2.52B	$3.33B	$3.94B	+4.9%
R&D	—	—	—	—	—	—
SG&A	$1.48B	$1.53B	$1.63B	$1.74B	$1.80B	+5.1%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AAPL	Apple Inc.	5T	39.4x	10.8x	101.6%	+6.1%	+28.5%	Sell
ABNB	Airbnb, Inc.	97.8B	37.5x	7.4x	16.8%	+24.4%	+28.5%	Sell
ADBE	Adobe Inc.	97.1B	13.9x	3.7x	57.2%	+11.5%	-30.7%	Strong Buy
ACGL	Arch Capital Group Ltd.	34.8B	8.3x	1.8x	15.9%	+15.1%	+18.7%	Strong Buy
AIG	American International Group Inc.	41.7B	14.7x	1.6x	7.7%	-9.6%	+2.8%	Strong Buy
AIZ	Assurant, Inc.	14.1B	13.6x	1.0x	14.4%	+6.6%	+36.2%	Hold

Base and Bull scenarios

Base60%

Price target

$327.35

-25.8% from spot

The Base case represents the modal operating trajectory where Moody's compounds earnings through mid-single-digit debt issuance growth, ratings pricing power, and high-single-digit ARR expansion in Moody's Analytics. Consensus FY2026 EPS and FY2027 EPS expectations are met as operating margins expand from FY2025 levels through FY2030. This performance synthesizes into a Base target of $327.35. With shares trading at $441.36 (as of $441.36 (as of 2026-10-02)) relative to Fair value of $327.35, the expected return is -25.8%.

Consolidated revenue expands in FY2026 and FY2027, tapering toward steady state.
Operating margin expands modestly from FY2025 levels through FY2030, driven by MA margin progression toward targeted levels.
Terminal valuation multiple normalizes at a moderate cost of equity and WACC.
Diluted share count declines steadily, funded by ongoing free cash flow conversion.

Bull20%

Price target

$399.89

-9.4% from spot

In the Bull scenario, corporate debt refinancing surges above expectations, driven by multi-year corporate debt maturity walls, private credit ratings demand, and massive hyperscaler debt issuance pipelines. MIS transaction revenue accelerates to double-digit growth, driving operating leverage across fixed analyst overhead. Simultaneously, enterprise adoption of AI compliance and automated risk scoring accelerates Moody's Analytics ARR, driving segment margins toward the high thirties ahead of management's timeline. Robust cash flow generation facilitates aggressive share repurchases, supporting the upper bound of intrinsic fair value at $399.89.

Global debt issuance grows at double-digit rates, accelerated by hyperscaler capex pipelines and private credit expansion.
MA operating margin expands toward targeted levels ahead of schedule on high-single-digit ARR growth.
MCO maintains a premium forward valuation multiple, supported by authorized share repurchases.

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($327.35). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%	3.3%	3.5%
9.3%	$348	$353	$358	$364	$370
9.8%	$334	$338	$342	$346	$351
10.3%	$320	$324	$327	$331	$335
10.8%	$309	$312	$315	$318	$321
11.3%	$298	$301	$303	$306	$309

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E24.3

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E28.4

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE76.7

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC31.4

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All MCO indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

289

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 289 of 289 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0001059556
Company name	Moody's Corporation
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	615369105
Earnings date	2026-10-21
Earnings time	bmo
Employees	16,000
Employees change	87
Employees growth	0.55%
Enterprise value	$88.1B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-09-30
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	1900
In index	SP500
Industry	Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
IPO date	2000-10-03
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US6153691059
Last 10-K release date	2026-02-18
Last earnings date	2026-10-21
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	2005-05-19
Last stock split type	Forward
Market cap	$82.1B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2027-02-17
Options	Yes
Price	$476.19
Price currency	USD
Sector	Financials
SIC code	7320
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	MCO
U.S. state	New York
Website	https://www.moodys.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	28.36x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	35.43x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	38.11x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	37.02x
Earnings yield	3.44%
EV/Earnings	30.64x
EV/EBIT	23.47x
EV/EBITDA	21.81x
EV/FCF	29.67x
EV/Sales	10.8x
FCF / EV yield	3.37%
FCF yield	3.62%
Forward EV/Sales	10.28x
Forward P/E	26.38x
Forward P/S	9.58x
Graham number	83.5642
Graham upside	-82.5%
Industry forward P/E	23.83x
Industry P/E	28.12x
Lynch fair value	$106.97
Lynch upside	-77.6%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	30x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	26.59x
P/B ratio	25.01x
P/E ratio	29.08x
P/FCF ratio	27.66x
P/OCF ratio	24.73x
P/S ratio	10.07x
PEG ratio	2.24x
Price/EBITDA ratio	20.33x
Sector forward P/E	13.61x
Sector P/E	15.65x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	46.04%
EBITDA margin	49.52%
Effective tax rate	21.89%
FCF margin	36.41%
Gross margin	74.63%
Operating margin	46.04%
Pretax margin	45.21%
Profit margin	35.26%
Profit per employee	$180,188
Profitable quarters	39
Profitable years	28
Revenue per employee	$511,000
ROA	15.56%
ROA (5Y)	11.51%
ROCE	32.59%
ROE	76.74%
ROE (5Y)	63.02%
ROIC	31.45%
ROIC (5Y)	25.02%
SBC / revenue	2.85%
Tax / revenue	9.89%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	31.87%
EPS growth (Q)	17.78%
EPS growth (QoQ)	-15.71%
EPS growth 10Y	13.45%
EPS growth 3Y	25.84%
EPS growth 5Y	7.97%
EPS growth quarters	15
EPS growth years	3
FCF growth	24.15%
FCF growth (Q)	1.52%
FCF growth (QoQ)	-2.91%
FCF growth 3Y	18.83%
FCF growth 5Y	5.6%
Gross profit growth	10.3%
Gross profit growth (Q)	-1.06%
Gross profit growth 3Y	14.64%
Gross profit growth 5Y	6.72%
Net income growth	28.48%
Net income growth (Q)	13.62%
Net income growth (QoQ)	-16.4%
Net income growth 3Y	23.98%
Net income growth 5Y	6.53%
Net income growth quarters	15
Net income growth years	3
OCF growth	22.53%
OCF growth (Q)	1.35%
OCF growth (QoQ)	-3.34%
OCF growth 10Y	11.22%
OCF growth 3Y	17.52%
OCF growth 5Y	7.09%
Operating income growth	14.41%
Operating income growth (Q)	-0.53%
Operating income growth 3Y	21.74%
Operating income growth 5Y	5.89%
Revenue growth	9%
Revenue growth (Q)	0.8%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	-7.41%
Revenue growth 10Y	8.77%
Revenue growth 3Y	12.61%
Revenue growth 5Y	6.49%
Revenue growth quarters	14
Revenue growth years	3

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-352M
Depreciation and amortization	$285M
EBIT	$3.8B
EBITDA	$4B
EPS	$16.37
FCF per share	$17.27
Financing cash flow	$-3.8B
Free cash flow	$3B
Free cash flow minus SBC	$2.7B
Gross profit	$6.1B
Income taxes	$809M
Investing cash flow	$-172M
Net cash flow	$-668M
Net income	$2.9B
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$3.1B
Operating income	$3.8B
Revenue	$8.2B
Stock-based compensation	$233M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	7.71
Book value per share	$18.95
Debt / EBITDA	1.83
Debt / equity	2.23
Debt / FCF	2.56
Goodwill	$6.3B
Interest coverage	15.49
Long-term assets	$10.6B
Long-term liabilities	$8.1B
Net cash (debt)	$-6B
Net cash / market cap	-7.28%
Net debt / EBITDA	1.48
Net debt / equity	1.76
Net debt / FCF	2.01
Piotroski F-Score	7
Property, plant and equipment	$1.3B
Shareholders' equity	$3.4B
Tangible book value	$-4.7B
Tangible book value per share	$-27.43
Total assets	$14.8B
Total cash	$1.6B
Total debt	$7.6B
Total liabilities	$11.4B
WACC	10.88%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.54
Current assets	$4.2B
Current liabilities	$3.3B
Current ratio	1.29
Net working capital	$-14M
Quick ratio	1.07
Working capital	$942M
Working capital turnover	5.38

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	2.51%
Dividend growth	9.57%
Dividend growth (10Y)	10.78%
Dividend growth (3Y)	10.18%
Dividend growth (5Y)	10.69%
Dividend growth years	16
Dividend payment date	2026-12-11
Dividend payment years	29
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$4.12
Dividend yield	0.87%
Ex-dividend date	2026-11-20
FCF payout ratio	23.86%
Last dividend	$1.03
Payout ratio	25.16%
Shareholder yield	3.37%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	365.07%
10Y return CAGR	17.72%
10Y total return	410.75%
150-day SMA	$466.69
15Y price change	1,192.82%
15Y return CAGR	19.92%
15Y total return	1,426.36%
1D price change	0.46%
1M price change	1.37%
1M total return	1.37%
1W price change	-0.05%
1W total return	-0.05%
1Y price change	-4.03%
1Y return CAGR	-3.2%
1Y total return	-3.2%
20-day SMA	$468.68
200-day SMA	$467.23
20Y price change	620.74%
20Y return CAGR	11.66%
20Y total return	808.41%
3M price change	-2.23%
3M total return	-2.03%
3Y price change	57.34%
3Y return CAGR	17.25%
3Y total return	61.21%
50-day SMA	$477.55
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50over200
52-week high	$546.88
52-week high date	2026-01-15
52-week low	$402.28
52-week low date	2026-02-12
5Y price change	21%
5Y return CAGR	4.78%
5Y total return	26.27%
6M price change	3.12%
6M total return	3.58%
All-time high	$546.88
All-time high date	2026-01-15
All-time low	$11.31
All-time low date	2000-10-18
Average true range (ATR)	$12.73
Average volume	939.5K
Beta (1Y)	0.73
Beta (2Y)	1.07
Beta (5Y)	1.35
Change from 52-week high	-12.93%
Change from 52-week low	18.37%
Change from all-time high	-13.12%
Change from all-time low	4,099.68%
Change from open	0.67%
Day's gap	-0.21%
Dollar volume	$260.2M
High price	$478.47
Low price	$471.22
Monthly RSI	52.36
Open price	$473.00
Position in 52-week range	68.55%
Premarket change	-0.44%
Premarket close	$474.00
Premarket price	$471.92
Previous close	$474.00
Price vs 150-day SMA	1.8%
Price vs 20-day SMA	1.37%
Price vs 200-day SMA	1.69%
Price vs 50-day SMA	-0.51%
Relative volume	0.58
RSI	50.99
Sharpe ratio	-0.12
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.57
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.2
Sortino ratio	0.03
Sortino ratio (3Y)	1.01
Sortino ratio (5Y)	0.49
Volume	546.3K
Weekly RSI	50.4
YTD price change	-7%
YTD total return	-6.38%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	157.8M
Float percentage	91.5%
Shares change (QoQ)	-0.69%
Shares change (YoY)	-2.51%
Shares held by insiders	0.09%
Shares held by institutions	70.52%
Shares outstanding	172.4M
Short % of float	1.78%
Short % of shares	1.63%
Short ratio	3.8 days

Deeper analysis on MCO

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this MCO report

What is the latest published MCO stock rating?

Moody's Corporation is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-03. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full MCO analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-03, lives at /stocks/MCO/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for MCO?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-03 gives MCO a fair value of USD 327 and a potential value of USD 400. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the MCO page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-03). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

SellMCO · Fair value $327-25.8%

Read full analysis →

Moody's Corporation (MCO)

Our latest published analysis: MCO rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · MCO

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All MCO indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on MCO

Frequently asked questions

Rating history

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	8.5
Balance Sheet	3.5
Profitability	8.5
Revenue Growth	7.5
Risk Assessment	4.0
Competitive Moat	9.2
Earnings Quality	7.5
Capital Efficiency	8.5