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M&T Bank Corporation's published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $31.8B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 9.5B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 2.9B | |
| EPS (ttm) | $19.2 | |
| Shares out | 143.7M | |
| P/E (trailing) | 11.5x | |
| P/E (forward) | 10.6x | |
| Dividend | $6.00 (2.72%) | |
| Volume | 564,276 | |
| Beta | 0.61 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $5.99B | $1.53B | $1.48B | $1.54B | $1.66B | -27.5% |
| Gross profit | $6.04B | $7.50B | $8.75B | $8.62B | $9.19B | +11.1% |
| Operating income | $2.46B | $2.61B | $3.62B | $3.31B | $3.69B | +10.7% |
| Net income | $1.86B | $1.99B | $2.74B | $2.59B | $2.85B | +11.3% |
| EPS (diluted) | $13.80 | $11.53 | $15.79 | $14.64 | $17.00 | +5.4% |
| EBITDA | $2.78B | $3.05B | $4.12B | $3.82B | $3.96B | +9.2% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $2.12B | $2.88B | $3.12B | $3.27B | $3.13B | +10.3% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
Under the Base scenario, which carries a probability of 55.0%, the shares are projected to reach $212.02, delivering an implied return of -3.2% from $219.14. MTB sustains disciplined deposit pricing across its regional network, maintaining net interest margin in line with management expectations while commercial lending expands steadily across middle-market segments. Non-interest revenue continues to compound through recurring institutional services, loan sub-servicing mandates, and wealth management fees. Credit loss provisioning remains normalized as criticized commercial real estate loans continue an orderly upgrade trajectory, supporting steady book value compounding and regular share repurchases.
Under the Bull scenario, which carries a probability of 20.0%, the target reaches $240.37, offering an implied return of 9.7% from $219.14. Regional middle-market commercial loan growth accelerates significantly as private credit competitors retrench, enabling MTB to expand earning assets without sacrificing lending spreads. Concurrently, specialized sub-servicing mandates scale rapidly, driving high-margin fee income above guidance boundaries. Office commercial real estate workouts conclude faster than anticipated, allowing loan loss reserve releases and boosting earnings power, which funds aggressive share buybacks under a higher terminal valuation multiple.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | $230 | $235 | $241 | $248 | $256 |
| 7.1% | $216 | $221 | $225 | $231 | $237 |
| 7.6% | $205 | $208 | $212 | $216 | $221 |
| 8.1% | $195 | $198 | $201 | $204 | $208 |
| 8.6% | $186 | $188 | $191 | $194 | $197 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
The rating each month's published research edition carried. A rating compares the price at analysis with the Fair value; it is not a record of whether the call was right.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
