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Molson Coors Beverage Company's published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $7.2B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 11.1B | |
| Net income (ttm) | -2.3B | |
| EPS (ttm) | -$12.0 | |
| Shares out | 186.5M | |
| P/E (forward) | 6.8x | |
| Dividend | $1.92 (4.91%) | |
| Volume | 1,520,438 | |
| Beta | 0.43 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $12.45B | $12.81B | $13.88B | $13.73B | $13.04B | +1.2% |
| Gross profit | $4.05B | $3.66B | $4.37B | $4.53B | $4.27B | +1.3% |
| Operating income | $1.45B | $157.5M | $1.44B | $1.75B | $-2.34B | — |
| Net income | $1.01B | $-175.3M | $948.9M | $1.12B | $-2.14B | — |
| EPS (diluted) | $4.15 | $-0.81 | $4.37 | $5.35 | $-10.75 | — |
| EBITDA | $2.29B | $872.9M | $2.17B | $2.55B | $-1.61B | — |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $2.55B | $2.62B | $2.78B | $2.72B | $2.64B | +0.9% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
In the Bull scenario, the valuation expands toward Potential value of $44.06 (delivering an expected return of 14.1% at a probability of 20.0%). Rapid retail distribution scaling of beyond-beer offerings and flavored innovations accelerates volume growth, while packaging cost pressures abate. Accelerated operating margin expansion drives rapid debt paydown, enabling enhanced share repurchases and multiple re-rating toward consumer peer levels.
In the Base scenario, the shares converge toward Fair value of $35.20 (representing an expected return of -8.9% from the analysis price of $38.63 at a probability of 55.0%). Core North American brand equity allows annual pricing realization that offsets low-single-digit volume shrinkage, while execution of the three-year cost savings program counters elevated aluminum packaging costs. Operating margins normalize gradually, sustaining annual free cash flow conversion that enables steady balance sheet debt reduction.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | $38.0 | $38.5 | $39.1 | $39.7 | $40.4 |
| 7.1% | $36.1 | $36.5 | $37.1 | $37.6 | $38.2 |
| 7.6% | $34.3 | $34.7 | $35.2 | $35.7 | $36.2 |
| 8.1% | $32.7 | $33.1 | $33.5 | $33.9 | $34.4 |
| 8.6% | $31.2 | $31.5 | $31.9 | $32.3 | $32.7 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
The rating each month's published research edition carried. A rating compares the price at analysis with the Fair value; it is not a record of whether the call was right.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
