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Target Corporation's published Reduce conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $71.5B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 107.7B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 4.4B | |
| EPS (ttm) | $9.64 | |
| Shares out | 454.3M | |
| P/E (trailing) | 15.4x | |
| P/E (forward) | 15.6x | |
| Dividend | $4.64 (3.13%) | |
| Volume | 2,254,520 | |
| Beta | 0.98 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2022-01-29 | 2023-01-28 | 2024-02-03 | 2025-02-01 | 2026-01-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $106.01B | $109.12B | $107.41B | $106.57B | $104.78B | -0.3% |
| Gross profit | $31.04B | $26.81B | $29.58B | $30.06B | $29.27B | -1.5% |
| Operating income | $8.95B | $3.85B | $5.71B | $5.57B | $5.12B | -13.0% |
| Net income | $6.95B | $2.78B | $4.14B | $4.09B | $3.71B | -14.5% |
| EPS (diluted) | $14.10 | $5.98 | $8.94 | $8.86 | $8.13 | -12.9% |
| EBITDA | $11.97B | $6.60B | $8.60B | $8.65B | $8.35B | -8.6% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $19.75B | $20.58B | $21.46B | $21.97B | $21.54B | +2.2% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
The modal path assumes gradual operational turnaround where middle-mile digital twin deployment resolves fulfillment friction and essential categories anchor customer visit frequency. Operating margins normalize toward modeled expectations as high-margin categories stabilize. At $157.45 (as of 2026-09-25), the shares trade above $129.82, indicating that the market has already capitalized operational turnaround gains without providing a margin of safety. Disconfirmation would occur if operating margin fails to reach modeled levels or if discretionary sales contract.
The upside path envisions accelerated turnaround execution where digital twin supply chain efficiencies generate structural operating cost savings, as operating margins expand, lifting earnings power toward the Potential value of $137.07 per share. Cultural brand partnerships and exclusive collaborations expand market share and drive strong comp growth in discretionary categories, justifying valuation multiple expansion relative to retail peers. Disconfirmation would occur if promotional discounting is required to clear inventory or if guest traffic slows.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $130 | $130 | $130 | $130 | $130 |
| 8.5% | $130 | $130 | $130 | $130 | $130 |
| 9.0% | $130 | $130 | $130 | $130 | $130 |
| 9.5% | $130 | $130 | $130 | $130 | $130 |
| 10.0% | $130 | $130 | $130 | $130 | $130 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
The rating each month's published research edition carried. A rating compares the price at analysis with the Fair value; it is not a record of whether the call was right.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
