Price versus value
- Price
- $63.32
- Fair value
- $39.61
- Potential value
- $61.06
- As of
- 2026-09-18
Main upside reason
Accelerated adoption of hybrid and plug-in hybrid powertrains by global automakers expands BorgWarner's component content per vehicle across turbochargers and eProducts systems ($2,570 million FY2025 revenue), driving operating margins toward mid-cycle targets of 5.20% and lifting valuation toward Potential value $61.06.
Main risk
A 15% reduction in European and North American vehicle assembly schedules or platform cancellations by major original equipment manufacturers.
We rate BorgWarner Sell. At a report-date price of $63.32 on 2026-09-18, the stock trades at an unjustified 59.86% premium above our house Fair value of $39.61, offering negative expected return as Tier-1 supplier headwinds and customer concentration outweigh cyclical cash generation.4
We rate BorgWarner Sell. For an ordinary investor, this means holding the stock carries severe valuation downside, and capital should be preserved by exiting existing positions or avoiding new investment.
The report was prepared at a price of $63.32 on 2026-09-18. This price stands 59.86% above our house Fair value of $39.61, representing an upside of -37.44%. The price also exceeds our Potential value of $61.06, indicating that the shares trade at an unwarranted premium even relative to our constructive operational scenario.