Optional product analytics
With your permission, we use privacy-limited analytics to understand which research journeys work. We do not run advertising trackers or session replay. You can change this choice in Preferences. Read the Privacy Policy.
Lucid Group, Inc.'s published Strong Buy conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $1.2B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 1.5B | |
| Net income (ttm) | -4.6B | |
| EPS (ttm) | -$13.7 | |
| Shares out | 394.1M | |
| Volume | 7,945,330 | |
| Beta | 1.00 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $27.1M | $608.2M | $595.3M | $807.8M | $1.35B | +165.8% |
| Gross profit | $-127.8M | $-1.04B | $-1.34B | $-923.1M | $-1.26B | — |
| Operating income | $-1.53B | $-2.59B | $-3.10B | $-3.02B | $-3.50B | — |
| Net income | $-2.58B | $-1.30B | $-2.83B | $-2.71B | $-2.70B | — |
| EPS (diluted) | $-64.10 | $-15.10 | $-13.59 | $-12.52 | $-12.09 | — |
| EBITDA | $-2.50B | $-1.07B | $-2.57B | $-2.38B | $-2.15B | — |
| R&D | $750.2M | $821.5M | $937.0M | $1.18B | $1.21B | +12.7% |
| SG&A | $652.5M | $734.6M | $797.2M | $901.0M | $1.03B | +12.2% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
In the base case scenario, Lucid successfully executes the commercial ramp of the Gravity SUV, lifting vehicle delivery revenue in line with consensus projections and absorbing plant overhead over a multi-year horizon. Operating reset initiatives and inventory adjustments contain cash burn, while sovereign credit facilities bridge capital expenditure requirements through tooling completion. Under this modal path, the shares converge to Fair value of $11.02 with an estimated probability of 50.0%, representing an implied upside of 252.1% against $3.13.
In the upside scenario, the commercial ramp of the Gravity SUV exceeds baseline expectations, driving rapid consumer adoption across North America and accelerating deliveries under sovereign procurement commitments in the Middle East. Manufacturing lines at Casa Grande achieve target throughput ahead of schedule, spreading fixed overhead and narrowing operating losses toward breakeven faster than anticipated. Under this trajectory, the shares achieve Potential value of $21.65 with an estimated probability of 15.0%, representing an implied return of 591.7% from $3.13.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.9% | $12.7 | $12.7 | $12.7 | $12.7 | $12.7 |
| 8.9% | $12.2 | $12.2 | $12.2 | $12.2 | $12.2 |
| 9.9% | $11.0 | $11.0 | $11.0 | $11.0 | $11.0 |
| 10.9% | $11.4 | $11.4 | $11.4 | $11.4 | $11.4 |
| 11.9% | $11.0 | $11.0 | $11.0 | $11.0 | $11.0 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
The rating each month's published research edition carried. A rating compares the price at analysis with the Fair value; it is not a record of whether the call was right.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
