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MGM Resorts International's published Reduce conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $7.3B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 17.8B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 423.6M | |
| EPS (ttm) | $1.60 | |
| Shares out | 251.6M | |
| P/E (trailing) | 17.1x | |
| P/E (forward) | 17.4x | |
| Volume | 7,098,252 | |
| Beta | 1.35 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $9.68B | $13.13B | $16.16B | $17.24B | $17.54B | +16.0% |
| Gross profit | $4.65B | $6.47B | $7.61B | $7.85B | $7.79B | +13.8% |
| Operating income | $2.28B | $1.44B | $1.89B | $1.49B | $1.00B | -18.6% |
| Net income | $1.25B | $1.47B | $1.14B | $746.6M | $205.9M | -36.4% |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.41 | $3.49 | $3.19 | $2.40 | $0.76 | -25.1% |
| EBITDA | $3.41B | $4.98B | $2.40B | $2.39B | $1.72B | -15.8% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $2.51B | $4.23B | $4.70B | $4.83B | $4.88B | +18.1% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
Under the Bull scenario, the target reaches $27.28 with an estimated probability of 25.0% and an implied return of -5.8% relative to $28.96 as of $28.96 (as of 2026-10-14). This path reflects an acceleration in high-margin international visitation to Las Vegas, expanding market share in Macau premium mass tables, and operating leverage inflection in European digital operations that fully self-funds expansion in Latin America.
Under the Base scenario, the target reaches $24.22 with an estimated probability of 50.0% and an implied return of -16.4% relative to $28.96 as of $28.96 (as of 2026-10-14). This outcome assumes mid-cycle normalization of operating margins, resilient luxury convention banquet demand on the Las Vegas Strip, steady premium mass gaming performance in Macau, and ongoing share repurchases that compound earnings per share.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.6% | $25.5 | $25.8 | $26.1 | $26.4 | $26.7 |
| 10.1% | $24.6 | $24.8 | $25.1 | $25.4 | $25.7 |
| 10.6% | $23.8 | $24.0 | $24.2 | $24.5 | $24.7 |
| 11.1% | $23.0 | $23.2 | $23.4 | $23.6 | $23.9 |
| 11.6% | $22.4 | $22.5 | $22.7 | $22.9 | $23.1 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
The rating each month's published research edition carried. A rating compares the price at analysis with the Fair value; it is not a record of whether the call was right.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |