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Low bear-case kill-card score (< 30)

Reports where the bear-case kill-card score is below 30: no individual kill-scenario carries a probability ≥ 30%, signalling a thin tail of catastrophic downside paths in the analyst's base view.

#SymbolCompanySectorMarket capP/EROICDiv. yield
1NVDANVIDIA CorporationTechnology$5.23T43.92+126.3%+0.0%
2AAPLApple Inc.Technology$4.31T35.56+104.3%+0.4%
3MSFTMicrosoft CorporationTechnology$3.08T24.72+27.2%+0.9%
4AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.Consumer Discretionary$2.93T32.61+13.5%0.0%
5AVGOBroadcom Inc.Technology$2.04T83.80+21.3%+0.6%
6TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company LimitedTechnology$1.90T31.76+52.2%+0.6%
7METAMeta Platforms, Inc.Communication Services$1.55T22.18+29.8%+0.3%
8WMTWalmart Inc.Consumer Staples$1.04T47.78+13.9%+0.8%
9BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway Inc.Financials$1.03T14.19+18.0%0.0%
10LLYEli Lilly and CompanyHealthcare$845.77B33.69+41.9%+0.7%
11MUMicron Technology, Inc.Technology$842.20B35.13+37.4%+0.1%
12JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.Financials$809.48B14.47+2.0%
13AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.Technology$742.23B151.79+7.8%0.0%
14INTCIntel CorporationTechnology$627.85B+1.5%0.0%
15VVisa Inc.Financials$600.64B27.79+54.3%+0.8%
16XOMExxon Mobil CorporationEnergy$599.24B24.34+7.3%+2.8%
17ORCLOracle CorporationTechnology$563.56B35.16+12.0%+1.0%
18JNJJohnson & JohnsonHealthcare$532.77B25.63+13.3%+2.4%
19COSTCostco Wholesale CorporationConsumer Staples$447.55B52.46+37.8%+0.6%
20MAMastercard IncorporatedFinancials$437.80B28.66+95.2%+0.7%
21CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.Technology$381.44B34.74+18.8%+1.7%
22NFLXNetflix, Inc.Communication Services$368.40B28.26+33.1%0.0%
23LRCXLam Research CorporationTechnology$367.73B55.54+73.9%+0.4%
24BACBank of America CorporationFinancials$364.13B12.75+2.2%
25CVXChevron CorporationEnergy$359.14B31.59+4.4%+3.9%
26ABBVAbbVie Inc.Healthcare$356.49B99.28+22.2%+3.4%
27AMATApplied Materials, Inc.Technology$345.57B44.60+35.5%+0.5%
28UNHUnitedHealth Group IncorporatedHealthcare$345.08B28.68+9.0%+2.3%
29PGThe Procter & Gamble CompanyConsumer Staples$340.95B21.41+22.1%+2.9%
30PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.Technology$330.35B154.91+306.8%0.0%
31HDThe Home Depot, Inc.Consumer Discretionary$316.19B22.31+20.7%+2.9%
32GEGE AerospaceIndustrials$310.03B36.89+29.4%+0.6%
33MSMorgan StanleyFinancials$304.56B17.50+3.3%+2.1%
34GSThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.Financials$287.13B17.15+2.0%+1.9%
35GEVGE Vernova Inc.Industrials$279.51B30.44+35.6%+0.2%
36MRKMerck & Co., Inc.Healthcare$275.09B31.15+21.2%+3.1%
37PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Consumer Staples$266.50B24.08+35.3%+3.4%
38TXNTexas Instruments IncorporatedTechnology$261.92B49.19+22.3%+2.0%
39KLACKLA CorporationTechnology$244.17B52.91+70.7%+0.5%
40RTXRTX CorporationIndustrials$237.14B33.03+8.9%+1.5%
41WFCWells Fargo & CompanyFinancials$231.47B11.68+2.4%
42QCOMQUALCOMM IncorporatedTechnology$230.92B23.94+32.9%+1.7%
43LINLinde plcMaterials$228.01B32.70+12.2%+1.3%
44IBMInternational Business Machines CorporationTechnology$215.95B20.35+14.9%+2.9%
45AXPAmerican Express CompanyFinancials$215.64B19.73+11.5%+1.2%
46CCitigroup Inc.Financials$214.14B15.61+1.9%
47PEPPepsiCo, Inc.Consumer Staples$211.33B24.27+19.6%+3.7%
48TMUST-Mobile US, Inc.Communication Services$209.55B20.58+8.5%+2.1%
49ADIAnalog Devices, Inc.Technology$203.35B76.16+7.5%+1.1%
50VZVerizon Communications Inc.Communication Services$197.17B11.50+8.8%+6.0%
Frequently asked

About this screen

What is the bear-case kill-card?
Each analysis report includes a bear-case section with named kill-scenarios — concrete paths through which the thesis could break. Each scenario carries a probability estimate and a fair-value impact. The kill-card is the structured table of these scenarios.
What does 'kill-card score < 30' mean?
It means no individual kill-scenario carries a probability estimate of 30% or higher. The thesis still has tail risks, but no single high-probability path to a permanent loss has been identified.
Is a low kill-card score the same as low risk?
No. It captures one specific dimension: the absence of high-probability catastrophic paths. A stock can have a low kill-card score and still carry meaningful risk through cyclical exposure, capital-cycle position, or accounting fragility — surfaced in other parts of the report.
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