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Low bear-case kill-card score (< 30)

Reports where the bear-case kill-card score is below 30: no individual kill-scenario carries a probability ≥ 30%, signalling a thin tail of catastrophic downside paths in the analyst's base view.

Source snapshot 2026-07-28 · freshness SLO 72 hours.

#SymbolCompanySectorMarket capP/EROICDiv. yield
1AAPLApple Inc.Technology4.95T USD40.84+104.3%+0.3%
2NVDANVIDIA CorporationTechnology4.76T USD30.10+104.7%+0.5%
3GOOGAlphabet Inc.Communication Services3.99T USD16.36+24.9%+0.3%
4MSFTMicrosoft CorporationTechnology2.89T USD23.17+27.2%+0.9%
5AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.Consumer Discretionary2.49T USD27.67+13.5%0.0%
6TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company LimitedTechnology1.88T TWD27.05+54.6%+0.7%
7AVGOBroadcom Inc.Technology1.82T USD63.56+24.2%+0.7%
8METAMeta Platforms, Inc.Communication Services1.51T USD21.65+29.8%+0.4%
9BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway Inc.Financials1.07T USD14.80+18.0%0.0%
10LLYEli Lilly and CompanyHealthcare1.07T USD42.54+41.9%+0.6%
11MUMicron Technology, Inc.Technology1.02T USD20.31+67.6%+0.1%
12JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.Financials946.85B USD15.16+1.7%
13WMTWalmart Inc.Consumer Staples889.24B USD39.34+13.8%+0.9%
14AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.Technology807.07B USD165.05+7.8%0.0%
15VVisa Inc.Financials682.97B USD31.60+54.3%+0.8%
16JNJJohnson & JohnsonHealthcare640.91B USD30.83+19.9%+2.0%
17MAMastercard IncorporatedFinancials487.48B USD31.92+95.2%+0.6%
18INTCIntel CorporationTechnology462.38B USD+3.4%0.0%
19ABBVAbbVie Inc.Healthcare453.91B USD126.55+14.4%+2.7%
20CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.Technology451.57B USD38.19+19.0%+1.5%
21BACBank of America CorporationFinancials436.03B USD14.36+2.1%
22COSTCostco Wholesale CorporationConsumer Staples422.01B USD47.86+38.4%+0.6%
23AMATApplied Materials, Inc.Technology410.39B USD48.61+33.2%+0.4%
24UNHUnitedHealth Group IncorporatedHealthcare379.28B USD26.89+10.2%+2.1%
25CVXChevron CorporationEnergy375.71B USD33.05+4.4%+3.7%
26GEGE AerospaceIndustrials375.19B USD42.62+31.0%+0.5%
27LRCXLam Research CorporationTechnology364.68B USD57.65+73.9%+0.4%
28PGThe Procter & Gamble CompanyConsumer Staples346.10B USD21.74+22.1%+2.8%
29ORCLOracle CorporationTechnology345.37B USD20.57+11.5%+1.7%
30MSMorgan StanleyFinancials337.29B USD17.34+3.5%+2.1%
31HDThe Home Depot, Inc.Consumer Discretionary335.12B USD23.87+20.6%+2.8%
32MRKMerck & Co., Inc.Healthcare322.95B USD36.57+21.2%+2.6%
33GSThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.Financials321.39B USD16.22+2.3%+1.9%
34PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.Technology315.32B USD138.18+306.8%0.0%
35PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Consumer Staples304.96B USD28.15+29.8%+3.0%
36RTXRTX CorporationIndustrials294.38B USD38.45+9.4%+1.3%
37NFLXNetflix, Inc.Communication Services293.14B USD22.18+32.4%0.0%
38ARMArm Holdings plcTechnology284.46B USD314.67+14.3%0.0%
39KLACKLA CorporationTechnology265.64B USD57.57+70.7%+0.4%
40GEVGE Vernova Inc.Industrials265.42B USD28.52+41.4%+0.2%
41WFCWells Fargo & CompanyFinancials264.30B USD12.68+2.3%
42PANWPalo Alto Networks, Inc.Technology258.62B USD276.59+3.6%0.0%
43TXNTexas Instruments IncorporatedTechnology255.17B USD42.44+25.5%+2.0%
44LINLinde plcMaterials234.42B USD33.62+12.2%+1.3%
45AXPAmerican Express CompanyFinancials226.49B USD20.36+11.9%+1.1%
46CCitigroup Inc.Financials223.26B USD14.47+1.8%
47ANETArista Networks, Inc.Technology215.02B USD59.79+237.4%0.0%
48TMOThermo Fisher Scientific Inc.Healthcare207.93B USD30.11+8.8%+0.3%
49IBMInternational Business Machines CorporationTechnology203.76B USD19.23+14.0%+3.2%
50VZVerizon Communications Inc.Communication Services196.61B USD12.33+8.1%+6.0%
Frequently asked

About this list

What is the bear-case kill-card?
Each analysis report includes a bear-case section with named kill-scenarios — concrete paths through which the thesis could break. Each scenario carries a probability estimate and a fair-value impact. The kill-card is the structured table of these scenarios.
What does 'kill-card score < 30' mean?
It means no individual kill-scenario carries a probability estimate of 30% or higher. The thesis still has tail risks, but no single high-probability path to a permanent loss has been identified.
Is a low kill-card score the same as low risk?
No. It captures one specific dimension: the absence of high-probability catastrophic paths. A stock can have a low kill-card score and still carry meaningful risk through cyclical exposure, capital-cycle position, or accounting fragility — surfaced in other parts of the report.
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